Gremio vs Sao Paulo: result 0-1 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 26Kick-off on October 4, 2014 at 07:20 PM (UTC)Arena do Grêmio, Porto Alegre, Rio Grande do Sul
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What was the result of Gremio vs Sao Paulo?
Sao Paulo won 0-1 on October 4, 2014.
Goalscorers
- 55′Rogério Mücke CeniSao Paulo (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gremio have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Sao Paulo have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 28, 2014 | Botafogo(away) | 2-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 25, 2014 | Fluminense(away) | 0-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 21, 2014 | Chapecoense-sc(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 18, 2014 | Santos(home) | 0-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 14, 2014 | Atletico-MG(away) | 0-0 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 28, 2014 | Fluminense(home) | 1-3 | Serie A |
| Sep 25, 2014 | Flamengo(home) | 2-2 | Serie A |
| Sep 21, 2014 | Corinthians(away) | 2-3 | Serie A |
| Sep 18, 2014 | Coritiba(away) | 1-3 | Serie A |
| Sep 14, 2014 | Cruzeiro(home) | 2-0 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Gremio win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Sao Paulo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 25, 2014 | Sao Paulo 1-0 Gremio | Serie A |
| Sep 29, 2013 | Sao Paulo 0-1 Gremio | Serie A |
| Jun 13, 2013 | Gremio 1-1 Sao Paulo | Serie A |
| Nov 11, 2012 | Gremio 2-1 Sao Paulo | Serie A |
| Aug 12, 2012 | Sao Paulo 1-2 Gremio | Serie A |
| Sep 11, 2011 | Gremio 1-0 Sao Paulo | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Gremio score 0.9 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Sao Paulo score 1.7 and concede 1.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gremio | 0.9 | 0.6 | 10 | 3/15 | 3/15 |
| Sao Paulo | 1.7 | 1.4 | 3 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gremio sit 15th in Serie A (25 points from 22 matches) and Sao Paulo sit 13th (27 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Sao Paulo | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 27 | 26 | 27 |
| 15 | Gremio | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 24 | 30 | 25 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy