Fluminense vs Bahia: result 1-0 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 15Kick-off on October 11, 2020 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho (Maracanã), Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro
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What was the result of Fluminense vs Bahia?
Fluminense won 1-0 on October 11, 2020.
Goalscorers
- 72′NenêFluminense (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fluminense have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Bahia have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 7, 2020 | Goias(away) | 4-2 | Serie A |
| Oct 4, 2020 | Botafogo(away) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 28, 2020 | Coritiba(home) | 4-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 24, 2020 | Atletico Goianiense(away) | 1-3 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Sep 20, 2020 | Sport Recife(away) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 7, 2020 | Vasco DA Gama(home) | 3-0 | Serie A |
| Oct 4, 2020 | Sport Recife(home) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Oct 1, 2020 | Botafogo(away) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 27, 2020 | Atletico Paranaense(away) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 17, 2020 | Corinthians(away) | 2-3 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Fluminense win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Bahia win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2019 | Fluminense 2-0 Bahia | Serie A |
| May 26, 2019 | Bahia 3-2 Fluminense | Serie A |
| Nov 22, 2018 | Bahia 2-0 Fluminense | Serie A |
| Aug 5, 2018 | Fluminense 1-1 Bahia | Serie A |
| Oct 29, 2017 | Fluminense 1-1 Bahia | Serie A |
| Jul 9, 2017 | Bahia 1-1 Fluminense | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Fluminense score 1.7 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Bahia score 1.3 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fluminense | 1.7 | 1.2 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Bahia | 1.3 | 1.5 | 2 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fluminense sit 4th in Serie A (41 points from 24 matches) and Bahia sit 6th (34 points from 23 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Fluminense | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 36 | 29 | 41 |
| 6 | Bahia | 23 | 8 | 10 | 5 | 32 | 28 | 34 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy