Santos vs Gremio: result 2-1 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 15Kick-off on October 11, 2020 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Urbano Caldeira, Santos, São Paulo
Full time
What was the result of Santos vs Gremio?
Santos won 2-1 on October 11, 2020.
Goalscorers
- 20′MarinhoSantos (pen.)
- 73′Diego SouzaGremio
- 79′MarinhoSantos (pen.)
Official lineup for Santos vs Gremio
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Santos
4-2-3-1- 9Kaio Jorge
- 23Arthur Gomes
- 11Marinho
- 8Jobson Souza Santos
- 21Diego Pituca
- 41Jean Mota
- 3Felipe Jonatan
- 28Lucas Veríssimo
- 14Luan Peres
- 4Pará
- 34João Paulo
Gremio
4-1-4-1- 25Pepê Aquino
- 19Luiz Fernando
- 29Diego Souza
- 20Thaciano
- 16Lucas Silva
- 18Robinho
- 17L. Orejuela
- 12Bruno Cortez
- 28Paulo Miranda
- 14David Braz
- 27Vanderlei
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Santos have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Gremio have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8, 2020 | Corinthians(away) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Oct 4, 2020 | Goias(away) | 3-2 | Serie A |
| Oct 2, 2020 | Olimpia(away) | 3-2 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Sep 27, 2020 | Fortaleza EC(home) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 25, 2020 | Delfin SC(away) | 2-1 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 7, 2020 | Coritiba(home) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Oct 3, 2020 | Internacional(home) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 29, 2020 | U. Catolica(home) | 2-0 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Sep 27, 2020 | Atletico-MG(away) | 1-3 | Serie A |
| Sep 24, 2020 | Internacional(away) | 1-0 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Santos wins, 2 draws, 2 Gremio wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 22, 2019 | Santos 0-3 Gremio | Serie A |
| Apr 28, 2019 | Gremio 1-2 Santos | Serie A |
| Sep 6, 2018 | Santos 0-0 Gremio | Serie A |
| May 6, 2018 | Gremio 5-1 Santos | Serie A |
| Nov 19, 2017 | Santos 1-0 Gremio | Serie A |
| Jul 30, 2017 | Gremio 1-1 Santos | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Santos score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Gremio score 1.1 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santos | 1.5 | 1.1 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Gremio | 1.1 | 1.0 | 5 | 9/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Santos sit 8th in Serie A (42 points from 30 matches) and Gremio sit 18th (31 points from 30 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Santos | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 46 | 45 | 42 |
| 18 | Gremio | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 32 | 40 | 31 |
A question about Santos vs Gremio?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy