Fluminense vs Gremio: result 2-3 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 38Kick-off on December 7, 2023 at 12:30 AM (UTC)Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho (Maracanã), Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro
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What was the result of Fluminense vs Gremio?
Gremio won 2-3 on December 7, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 34′J. AriasFluminense (pen.)
- 43′L. SuárezGremio
- 45′Everton GaldinoGremio
- 64′L. SuárezGremio (pen.)
- 81′John KennedyFluminense
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fluminense have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Gremio have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2023 | Palmeiras(away) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Nov 29, 2023 | Santos(away) | 3-0 | Serie A |
| Nov 26, 2023 | Coritiba(home) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Nov 23, 2023 | Sao Paulo(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Nov 11, 2023 | Flamengo(away) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2023 | Vasco DA Gama(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Nov 30, 2023 | Goias(home) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Nov 26, 2023 | Atletico-MG(away) | 0-3 | Serie A |
| Nov 12, 2023 | Corinthians(home) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Nov 9, 2023 | Botafogo(away) | 4-3 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Fluminense win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 Gremio win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 13, 2023 | Gremio 2-1 Fluminense | Serie A |
| Nov 10, 2021 | Gremio 1-0 Fluminense | Serie A |
| Jul 18, 2021 | Fluminense 0-1 Gremio | Serie A |
| Nov 8, 2020 | Fluminense 0-1 Gremio | Serie A |
| Aug 10, 2020 | Gremio 1-0 Fluminense | Serie A |
| Sep 29, 2019 | Fluminense 2-1 Gremio | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Fluminense score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Gremio score 1.7 and concede 1.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fluminense | 1.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Gremio | 1.7 | 1.8 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fluminense sit 4th in Serie A (41 points from 24 matches) and Gremio sit 15th (25 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Fluminense | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 36 | 29 | 41 |
| 15 | Gremio | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 24 | 30 | 25 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy