Bahia vs Atletico-MG: result 4-1 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 38Kick-off on December 7, 2023 at 12:30 AM (UTC)Arena Fonte Nova, Salvador, Bahia
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What was the result of Bahia vs Atletico-MG?
Bahia won 4-1 on December 7, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 11′CaulyBahia
- 36′PaulinhoAtletico-MG
- 45′Luciano JubaBahia
- 67′ThacianoBahia
- 90′AdemirBahia
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bahia have 6 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats; Atletico-MG have 11, 2 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2023 | America Mineiro(away) | 2-3 | Serie A |
| Nov 29, 2023 | Sao Paulo(home) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Nov 25, 2023 | Corinthians(away) | 5-1 | Serie A |
| Nov 12, 2023 | Atletico Paranaense(home) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Nov 9, 2023 | Cuiaba(home) | 0-3 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2023 | Sao Paulo(home) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Nov 29, 2023 | Flamengo(away) | 3-0 | Serie A |
| Nov 26, 2023 | Gremio(home) | 3-0 | Serie A |
| Nov 12, 2023 | Goias(home) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Nov 9, 2023 | Corinthians(away) | 1-1 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Bahia win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Atletico-MG win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 13, 2023 | Atletico-MG 1-0 Bahia | Serie A |
| Dec 2, 2021 | Bahia 2-3 Atletico-MG | Serie A |
| Aug 5, 2021 | Bahia 2-1 Atletico-MG | Copa Do Brasil |
| Jul 29, 2021 | Atletico-MG 2-0 Bahia | Copa Do Brasil |
| Jul 25, 2021 | Atletico-MG 3-0 Bahia | Serie A |
| Feb 13, 2021 | Atletico-MG 1-1 Bahia | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Bahia score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Atletico-MG score 1.7 and concede 0.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bahia | 1.5 | 1.5 | 3 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Atletico-MG | 1.7 | 0.6 | 7 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bahia sit 6th in Serie A (34 points from 23 matches) and Atletico-MG sit 7th (33 points from 23 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Bahia | 23 | 8 | 10 | 5 | 32 | 28 | 34 |
| 7 | Atletico-MG | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 30 | 27 | 33 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy