Gremio vs Fluminense: result 1-0 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 35Kick-off on November 19, 2015 at 09:30 PM (UTC)Arena do Grêmio, Porto Alegre, Rio Grande do Sul
Full time
What was the result of Gremio vs Fluminense?
Gremio won 1-0 on November 19, 2015.
Goalscorers
- 60′LuanGremio (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gremio have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Fluminense have 3, 1 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2015 | Sport Recife(away) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Nov 1, 2015 | Flamengo(home) | 2-0 | Serie A |
| Oct 25, 2015 | Vasco DA Gama(away) | 0-0 | Serie A |
| Oct 18, 2015 | Chapecoense-sc(home) | 2-3 | Serie A |
| Oct 16, 2015 | Santos(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2015 | Chapecoense-sc(home) | 2-3 | Serie A |
| Nov 1, 2015 | Vasco DA Gama(away) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Oct 24, 2015 | Atletico Paranaense(home) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Oct 18, 2015 | Cruzeiro(away) | 0-2 | Serie A |
| Oct 15, 2015 | Sao Paulo(home) | 2-0 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Gremio win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Fluminense win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 2015 | Fluminense 1-0 Gremio | Serie A |
| Sep 25, 2014 | Fluminense 0-0 Gremio | Serie A |
| May 18, 2014 | Gremio 1-0 Fluminense | Serie A |
| Oct 12, 2013 | Fluminense 1-1 Gremio | Serie A |
| Jul 28, 2013 | Gremio 2-0 Fluminense | Serie A |
| Oct 17, 2012 | Fluminense 2-2 Gremio | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Gremio score 1.2 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Fluminense score 0.9 and concede 1.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gremio | 1.2 | 0.9 | 7 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Fluminense | 0.9 | 1.8 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gremio sit 15th in Serie A (25 points from 22 matches) and Fluminense sit 4th (41 points from 24 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Fluminense | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 36 | 29 | 41 |
| 15 | Gremio | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 24 | 30 | 25 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy