Fluminense vs Vasco DA Gama: result 1-1 and analysis
Carioca - 1Semi-finalsKick-off on March 1, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho (Maracanã), Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro
Full time
What was the result of Fluminense vs Vasco DA Gama?
Fluminense and Vasco DA Gama drew 1-1 on March 1, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 35′Robert RenanVasco DA Gama
- 89′PH GansoFluminense (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fluminense have 11 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats; Vasco DA Gama have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | Palmeiras(away) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Feb 22, 2026 | Vasco DA Gama(away) | 1-0 | Carioca - 1 |
| Feb 16, 2026 | Bangu(home) | 3-1 | Carioca - 1 |
| Feb 12, 2026 | Botafogo(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Feb 8, 2026 | CFRJ / Maricá(home) | 1-0 | Carioca - 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | Santos(away) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Feb 22, 2026 | Fluminense(home) | 0-1 | Carioca - 1 |
| Feb 15, 2026 | Volta Redonda(home) | 1-1 | Carioca - 1 |
| Feb 12, 2026 | Bahia(home) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Feb 8, 2026 | Botafogo(home) | 2-0 | Carioca - 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Fluminense win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Vasco DA Gama win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2026 | Vasco DA Gama 0-1 Fluminense | Carioca - 1 |
| Dec 14, 2025 | Fluminense 1-0 Vasco DA Gama | Copa Do Brasil |
| Dec 11, 2025 | Vasco DA Gama 2-1 Fluminense | Copa Do Brasil |
| Oct 20, 2025 | Vasco DA Gama 2-0 Fluminense | Serie A |
| May 24, 2025 | Fluminense 2-1 Vasco DA Gama | Serie A |
| Feb 6, 2025 | Vasco DA Gama 1-2 Fluminense | Carioca - 1 |
Last archived meeting: Vasco DA Gama vs Fluminense on Feb 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Fluminense score 1.5 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Vasco DA Gama score 0.9 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fluminense | 1.5 | 0.8 | 6 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Vasco DA Gama | 0.9 | 0.9 | 5 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fluminense sit 1st in Carioca - 1 (15 points from 6 matches) and Vasco DA Gama sit 2nd (11 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fluminense | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 15 |
| 2 | Vasco DA Gama | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 3 | 11 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy