Vasco DA Gama vs Fluminense: result 0-1 and analysis
Carioca - 1Semi-finalsKick-off on February 22, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Nilton Santos, Rio de Janeiro
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What was the result of Vasco DA Gama vs Fluminense?
Fluminense won 0-1 on February 22, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 31′K. SernaFluminense
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vasco DA Gama have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Fluminense have 12, 1 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2026 | Volta Redonda(home) | 1-1 | Carioca - 1 |
| Feb 12, 2026 | Bahia(home) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Feb 8, 2026 | Botafogo(home) | 2-0 | Carioca - 1 |
| Feb 5, 2026 | Chapecoense-sc(home) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Feb 2, 2026 | Madureira(away) | 0-0 | Carioca - 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2026 | Bangu(home) | 3-1 | Carioca - 1 |
| Feb 12, 2026 | Botafogo(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Feb 8, 2026 | CFRJ / Maricá(home) | 1-0 | Carioca - 1 |
| Feb 5, 2026 | Bahia(away) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Feb 1, 2026 | Botafogo(away) | 1-0 | Carioca - 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Vasco DA Gama win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Fluminense win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2025 | Fluminense 1-0 Vasco DA Gama | Copa Do Brasil |
| Dec 11, 2025 | Vasco DA Gama 2-1 Fluminense | Copa Do Brasil |
| Oct 20, 2025 | Vasco DA Gama 2-0 Fluminense | Serie A |
| May 24, 2025 | Fluminense 2-1 Vasco DA Gama | Serie A |
| Feb 6, 2025 | Vasco DA Gama 1-2 Fluminense | Carioca - 1 |
| Aug 11, 2024 | Vasco DA Gama 2-0 Fluminense | Serie A |
Last archived meeting: Fluminense vs Vasco DA Gama on Dec 14, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Vasco DA Gama score 1.0 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Fluminense score 1.9 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vasco DA Gama | 1.0 | 1.1 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Fluminense | 1.9 | 0.7 | 6 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Vasco DA Gama sit 2nd in Carioca - 1 (11 points from 6 matches) and Fluminense sit 1st (15 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fluminense | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 15 |
| 2 | Vasco DA Gama | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 3 | 11 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy