Folgore vs Tre Penne: prediction and stats
CampionatoRegular Season - 7Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Campo Sportivo di Falciano, Falciano
The Footlab AI model makes Tre Penne the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Folgore. The most likely score is 1-1. If Tre Penne wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,489 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Folgore vs Tre Penne?
Tre Penne starts as the favourite with a 117-point Elo edge (1,407 vs 1,290).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Folgore vs Tre Penne
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Folgore
Not enough data to predict the Folgore lineup.
Tre Penne
Not enough data to predict the Tre Penne lineup.
Computed on October 25, 2026 at 06:10 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Folgore have 10 wins, 4 draws and 1 defeat; Tre Penne have 10, 4 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Libertas(away) | 2-1 | Campionato |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Pennarossa(away) | 5-1 | Campionato |
| Sep 19, 2026 | San Marino Academy(home) | 2-0 | Campionato |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Juvenes / Dogana(away) | 2-1 | Campionato |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Libertas(away) | 2-0 | Coppa Titano |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2026 | Tre Fiori(home) | 0-0 | Campionato |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Domagnano(away) | 2-0 | Campionato |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Juvenes / Dogana(home) | 2-0 | Campionato |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Cailungo(away) | 2-0 | Campionato |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Juvenes / Dogana(home) | 2-1 | Coppa Titano |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Folgore wins, 3 draws, 3 Tre Penne wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | Tre Penne 1-1 Folgore | Campionato |
| Nov 29, 2025 | Folgore 1-3 Tre Penne | Campionato |
| Mar 16, 2025 | Folgore 1-1 Tre Penne | Campionato |
| Dec 11, 2024 | Tre Penne 3-2 Folgore | Coppa Titano |
| Nov 27, 2024 | Folgore 0-1 Tre Penne | Coppa Titano |
| Nov 23, 2024 | Tre Penne 1-1 Folgore | Campionato |
How many goals should we expect?
Folgore score 2.4 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Tre Penne score 2.0 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Folgore | 2.4 | 0.9 | 7 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Tre Penne | 2.0 | 0.5 | 8 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Folgore sit 3rd in Campionato (15 points from 5 matches) and Tre Penne sit 2nd (16 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Tre Penne | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 2 | 16 |
| 3 | Folgore | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 2 | 15 |
A question about Folgore vs Tre Penne?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Folgore vs Tre Penne?
- The Footlab AI model makes Tre Penne the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Folgore.
- Where and when is Folgore vs Tre Penne played?
- Folgore vs Tre Penne is played on November 1, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Sportivo di Falciano, in the Campionato.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.