Foligno Calcio vs Ancona: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone FGroup F - 34Kick-off on May 2, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Enzo Blasone, Foligno
The Footlab AI model makes Ancona the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Foligno Calcio. The most likely score is 1-1. If Ancona wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,451 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Foligno Calcio vs Ancona?
Ancona starts as the favourite with a 104-point Elo edge (1,737 vs 1,632).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Foligno Calcio vs Ancona
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Foligno Calcio
Not enough data to predict the Foligno Calcio lineup.
Ancona
Not enough data to predict the Ancona lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 01:57 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Foligno Calcio have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Ancona have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Maceratese(away) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Angelana(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Montecchio Gallo(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Notaresco(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Recanatese(away) | 1-4 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Real Giulianova(away) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Fossombrone(home) | 1-1 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Sporting Trestina(home) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Angelana(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 20, 2026 | L'Aquila(home) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone F |
How many goals should we expect?
Foligno Calcio score 1.1 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Ancona score 1.3 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Foligno Calcio | 1.1 | 0.8 | 9 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
| Ancona | 1.3 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Foligno Calcio sit 3rd in Serie D - Girone F (16 points from 7 matches) and Ancona sit 4th (14 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Foligno Calcio | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 16 |
| 4 | Ancona | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 14 |
A question about Foligno Calcio vs Ancona?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Foligno Calcio vs Ancona?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ancona the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Foligno Calcio.
- Where and when is Foligno Calcio vs Ancona played?
- Foligno Calcio vs Ancona is played on May 2, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Enzo Blasone, in the Serie D - Girone F.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.