Match

Montecchio Gallo vs Atletico Ascoli: prediction and stats

Serie D - Girone FGroup F - 34Kick-off on May 2, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)

Montecchio GalloAtletico Ascoli

The Footlab AI model makes Montecchio Gallo the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Atletico Ascoli. The most likely score is 1-1. If Montecchio Gallo wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,872 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Montecchio Gallo vs Atletico Ascoli?

A very open match: only 44 Elo points separate Montecchio Gallo (1,713) and Atletico Ascoli (1,757).

37%28%35%
Montecchio Gallo winDrawAtletico Ascoli win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Montecchio Gallo vs Atletico Ascoli

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Montecchio Gallo

Not enough data to predict the Montecchio Gallo lineup.

Atletico Ascoli

Not enough data to predict the Atletico Ascoli lineup.

Computed on October 20, 2026 at 01:21 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 7 matches in all competitions, Montecchio Gallo have 3 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Atletico Ascoli have 5, 5 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Montecchio Gallo
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026Angelana(home)3-1Serie D - Girone F
Oct 11, 2026Lanciano FC(away)1-3Serie D - Girone F
Oct 4, 2026Notaresco(home)0-1Serie D - Girone F
Sep 27, 2026Foligno Calcio(home)1-1Serie D - Girone F
Sep 20, 2026Recanatese(away)0-0Serie D - Girone F
Atletico Ascoli
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026Lanciano FC(home)5-1Serie D - Girone F
Oct 11, 2026Vigor Senigallia(away)2-1Serie D - Girone F
Oct 4, 2026Fossombrone(home)0-1Serie D - Girone F
Sep 27, 2026Real Giulianova(away)2-4Serie D - Girone F
Sep 20, 2026Sporting Trestina(home)1-0Serie D - Girone F

How many goals should we expect?

Montecchio Gallo score 1.1 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 7; Atletico Ascoli score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Montecchio Gallo1.11.024/73/7
Atletico Ascoli1.31.339/156/15

Over the last 7 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Montecchio Gallo sit 9th in Serie D - Girone F (11 points from 8 matches) and Atletico Ascoli sit 7th (13 points from 8 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
7Atletico Ascoli8413131013
9Montecchio Gallo83239911

A question about Montecchio Gallo vs Atletico Ascoli?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Montecchio Gallo vs Atletico Ascoli?
The Footlab AI model makes Montecchio Gallo the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Atletico Ascoli.
Where and when is Montecchio Gallo vs Atletico Ascoli played?
Montecchio Gallo vs Atletico Ascoli is played on May 2, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the Serie D - Girone F.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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