L'Aquila vs Sporting Trestina: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone FGroup F - 34Kick-off on May 2, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Gran Sasso d'Italia, L’Aquila
The Footlab AI model makes L'Aquila the favourite at 59%, against 24% for a draw and 17% for Sporting Trestina. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 3,127 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win L'Aquila vs Sporting Trestina?
L'Aquila starts as the favourite with a 199-point Elo edge (1,826 vs 1,627).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for L'Aquila vs Sporting Trestina
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
L'Aquila
Not enough data to predict the L'Aquila lineup.
Sporting Trestina
Not enough data to predict the Sporting Trestina lineup.
Computed on October 24, 2026 at 02:06 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, L'Aquila have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Sporting Trestina have 1, 6 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Recanatese(away) | 3-2 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Santegidiese(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Termoli Calcio(home) | 5-2 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Pietralunga(away) | 3-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Teramo(home) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Pietralunga(away) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Teramo(home) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Ancona(away) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Termoli Calcio(home) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Atletico Ascoli(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
How many goals should we expect?
L'Aquila score 1.6 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Sporting Trestina score 0.7 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L'Aquila | 1.6 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Sporting Trestina | 0.7 | 1.6 | 3 | 5/15 | 2/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
L'Aquila sit 1st in Serie D - Girone F (20 points from 8 matches) and Sporting Trestina sit 18th (4 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | L'Aquila | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 17 | 5 | 20 |
| 18 | Sporting Trestina | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 4 |
A question about L'Aquila vs Sporting Trestina?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for L'Aquila vs Sporting Trestina?
- The Footlab AI model makes L'Aquila the favourite at 59%, against 24% for a draw and 17% for Sporting Trestina.
- Where and when is L'Aquila vs Sporting Trestina played?
- L'Aquila vs Sporting Trestina is played on May 2, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Gran Sasso d'Italia, in the Serie D - Girone F.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.