Folkestone Invicta vs Maidstone Utd: prediction and stats
National League - SouthNational League South - 38Kick-off on March 9, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC)The Alcaline Stadium, Folkestone, Kent
The Footlab model makes Folkestone Invicta the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Maidstone Utd. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Folkestone Invicta vs Maidstone Utd?
A very open match: only 17 Elo points separate Folkestone Invicta (1,947) and Maidstone Utd (1,930).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Folkestone Invicta have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Maidstone Utd have 11, 2 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Chelmsford City(home) | 1-1 | National League - South |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Maidstone Utd(away) | 1-1 | National League - South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Walton & Hersham(home) | 5-1 | National League - South |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Welling United(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Sutton Utd(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Dorking Wanderers(away) | 3-2 | National League - South |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Folkestone Invicta(home) | 1-1 | National League - South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Walton & Hersham(away) | 3-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Farnborough(home) | 1-2 | National League - South |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Chatham Town(away) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Folkestone Invicta win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Maidstone Utd win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | Maidstone Utd 1-1 Folkestone Invicta | National League - South |
| Sep 12, 2025 | Folkestone Invicta 2-0 Maidstone Utd | FA Cup |
| Jul 30, 2024 | Folkestone Invicta 0-1 Maidstone Utd | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 23, 2022 | Folkestone Invicta 1-2 Maidstone Utd | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 7, 2021 | Folkestone Invicta 3-1 Maidstone Utd | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Maidstone Utd vs Folkestone Invicta on Aug 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Folkestone Invicta score 2.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Maidstone Utd score 2.4 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Folkestone Invicta | 2.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
| Maidstone Utd | 2.4 | 1.2 | 6 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Folkestone Invicta sit 12th in National League - South (5 points from 3 matches) and Maidstone Utd sit 5th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Maidstone Utd | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 7 |
| 12 | Folkestone Invicta | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Folkestone Invicta vs Maidstone Utd?
- The Footlab model makes Folkestone Invicta the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Maidstone Utd.
- Where and when is Folkestone Invicta vs Maidstone Utd played?
- Folkestone Invicta vs Maidstone Utd is played on March 9, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at The Alcaline Stadium, in the National League - South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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