Match

Maidenhead vs Hemel Hempstead Town: prediction and stats

National League - SouthNational League South - 38Kick-off on March 9, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC)York Road Stadium, Maidenhead, Berkshire

MaidenheadHemel Hempstead Town

The Footlab AI model makes Maidenhead the favourite at 46%, against 30% for a draw and 24% for Hemel Hempstead Town. The most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,798 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Maidenhead vs Hemel Hempstead Town?

A very open match: only 13 Elo points separate Maidenhead (1,832) and Hemel Hempstead Town (1,844).

46%30%24%
Maidenhead winDrawHemel Hempstead Town win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Maidenhead vs Hemel Hempstead Town

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Maidenhead

4-3-3
  1. AA. Pendlebury
  2. 27C. Hall
  3. 19D. Nkrumah
  1. 11J. Mitchell-Lawson
  2. 21J. Coley
  3. 36J. Johnson
  1. 22M. Welch-Hayes
  2. 19Owen Cochrane
  3. 28J. McMenemy
  4. AAlfie Calver
  1. 1J. van Stappershoef

Hemel Hempstead Town

4-3-3
  1. 16I. Noel-Williams
  2. 10Joseph White
  3. 23Trae Cook
  1. 7G. Williams
  2. 12Kyran Wiltshire
  3. 20Mauro Vilhete
  1. 3D. Dowrich
  2. 2Samuel Adenola
  3. 22Devante Stanley
  4. 15Mathew Achuba
  1. 1M. Johnson

Computed on October 19, 2026 at 03:57 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Maidenhead have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Hemel Hempstead Town have 3, 7 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Maidenhead
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026Maidstone Utd(away)1-2National League - South
Oct 10, 2026Tonbridge Angels(home)0-1National League - South
Sep 26, 2026Chesham United(away)4-0National League - South
Sep 19, 2026Ebbsfleet United(home)1-3FA Cup
Sep 12, 2026Billericay Town(home)2-2National League - South
Hemel Hempstead Town
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026Tonbridge Angels(away)0-1National League - South
Oct 10, 2026Dagenham & Redbridge(away)0-0National League - South
Sep 26, 2026Slough Town(away)2-0National League - South
Sep 22, 2026Wingate & Finchley(away)1-2FA Cup
Sep 19, 2026Wingate & Finchley(home)1-1FA Cup

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 3 Maidenhead wins, 2 draws, 0 Hemel Hempstead Town wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 18, 2026Hemel Hempstead Town 0-1 MaidenheadNational League - South
Dec 20, 2025Hemel Hempstead Town 0-0 MaidenheadNational League - South
Aug 19, 2025Maidenhead 2-2 Hemel Hempstead TownNational League - South
Dec 20, 2022Hemel Hempstead Town 2-3 MaidenheadFA Trophy
Dec 14, 2019Maidenhead 4-2 Hemel Hempstead TownFA Trophy

Last archived meeting: Hemel Hempstead Town vs Maidenhead on Aug 18, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Maidenhead score 1.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Hemel Hempstead Town score 0.9 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Maidenhead1.01.346/156/15
Hemel Hempstead Town0.91.048/153/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Maidenhead sit 18th in National League - South (13 points from 12 matches) and Hemel Hempstead Town sit 16th (14 points from 12 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
16Hemel Hempstead Town12354101114
18Maidenhead12345131413

A question about Maidenhead vs Hemel Hempstead Town?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Maidenhead vs Hemel Hempstead Town?
The Footlab AI model makes Maidenhead the favourite at 46%, against 30% for a draw and 24% for Hemel Hempstead Town.
Where and when is Maidenhead vs Hemel Hempstead Town played?
Maidenhead vs Hemel Hempstead Town is played on March 9, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at York Road Stadium, in the National League - South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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