Where and when is Maidenhead vs Hemel Hempstead Town played?

Maidenhead vs Hemel Hempstead Town is played on March 9, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at York Road Stadium, in the National League - South.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Maidenhead vs Hemel Hempstead Town: prediction and stats

National League - SouthNational League South - 38Kick-off on March 9, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC)York Road Stadium, Maidenhead, Berkshire

Maidenhead

Hemel Hempstead Town

The Footlab model makes Maidenhead the favourite at 42%, against 29% for a draw and 29% for Hemel Hempstead Town. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Maidenhead vs Hemel Hempstead Town?

A very open match: only 23 Elo points separate Maidenhead (1,816) and Hemel Hempstead Town (1,839).

Maidenhead win42 %

Draw29 %

Hemel Hempstead Town win29 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Maidenhead have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Hemel Hempstead Town have 5, 6 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Maidenhead
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Farnborough(home)	1-1	National League - South
Aug 18, 2026	Hemel Hempstead Town(away)	1-0	National League - South
Aug 15, 2026	Dorking Wanderers(home)	0-0	National League - South
Aug 8, 2026	Truro City(away)	0-2	National League - South
Aug 1, 2026	Brackley Town(away)	0-1	Friendlies Clubs

Hemel Hempstead Town
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Salisbury(away)	2-1	National League - South
Aug 18, 2026	Maidenhead(home)	0-1	National League - South
Aug 15, 2026	Farnborough(away)	2-0	National League - South
Aug 8, 2026	Chelmsford City(home)	1-1	National League - South
Aug 1, 2026	St Albans City(away)	1-1	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 3 Maidenhead win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Hemel Hempstead Town win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Aug 18, 2026	Hemel Hempstead Town 0-1 Maidenhead	National League - South
Dec 20, 2025	Hemel Hempstead Town 0-0 Maidenhead	National League - South
Aug 19, 2025	Maidenhead 2-2 Hemel Hempstead Town	National League - South
Dec 20, 2022	Hemel Hempstead Town 2-3 Maidenhead	FA Trophy
Dec 14, 2019	Maidenhead 4-2 Hemel Hempstead Town	FA Trophy

Last archived meeting: Hemel Hempstead Town vs Maidenhead on Aug 18, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Maidenhead score 0.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Hemel Hempstead Town score 1.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Maidenhead	0.9	1.2	4	7/15	4/15
Hemel Hempstead Town	1.1	0.9	4	8/15	6/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Maidenhead sit 14th in National League - South (5 points from 4 matches) and Hemel Hempstead Town sit 6th (7 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
6	Hemel Hempstead Town	4	2	1	1	5	3	7
14	Maidenhead	4	1	2	1	2	3	5

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Maidenhead vs Hemel Hempstead Town?: The Footlab model makes Maidenhead the favourite at 42%, against 29% for a draw and 29% for Hemel Hempstead Town.
Where and when is Maidenhead vs Hemel Hempstead Town played?: Maidenhead vs Hemel Hempstead Town is played on March 9, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at York Road Stadium, in the National League - South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.