Match

Salisbury vs Truro City: prediction and stats

National League - SouthNational League South - 38Kick-off on March 9, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC)The Raymond McEnhill Stadium, Salisbury, Wiltshire

SalisburyTruro City

The Footlab model makes Salisbury the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Truro City. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Salisbury vs Truro City?

A very open match: only 8 Elo points separate Salisbury (1,760) and Truro City (1,752).

Salisbury win47 %
Draw25 %
Truro City win28 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Salisbury have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Truro City have 6, 4 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Salisbury
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Hemel Hempstead Town(home)1-2National League - South
Aug 15, 2026Horsham(away)0-0National League - South
Aug 8, 2026Hampton & Richmond(home)5-0National League - South
Jul 31, 2026Havant & Wville(home)5-0Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026Frome Town(away)0-3Friendlies Clubs
Truro City
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Tonbridge Angels(away)2-0National League - South
Aug 18, 2026Southampton U21(home)2-1National League Cup
Aug 15, 2026Chelmsford City(away)0-0National League - South
Aug 8, 2026Maidenhead(home)2-0National League - South
Jul 25, 2026Plymouth(home)0-1Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Salisbury win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Truro City win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 22, 2025Truro City 1-0 SalisburyNational League - South
Aug 20, 2024Salisbury 1-1 Truro CityNational League - South
Apr 19, 2023Truro City 4-0 SalisburyNon League Premier - Southern South
Oct 25, 2022Salisbury 0-3 Truro CityNon League Premier - Southern South
Oct 9, 2022Truro City 1-0 SalisburyFA Trophy
Mar 15, 2022Truro City 1-3 SalisburyNon League Premier - Southern South

Last archived meeting: Truro City vs Salisbury on Mar 22, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Salisbury score 2.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Truro City score 1.0 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Salisbury2.31.359/1512/15
Truro City1.00.674/153/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Salisbury sit 15th in National League - South (4 points from 3 matches) and Truro City sit 4th (7 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Truro City3210407
15Salisbury3111624

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Salisbury vs Truro City?
The Footlab model makes Salisbury the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Truro City.
Where and when is Salisbury vs Truro City played?
Salisbury vs Truro City is played on March 9, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at The Raymond McEnhill Stadium, in the National League - South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Salisbury and Truro City

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