Where and when is Ebbsfleet United vs Chelmsford City played?

Ebbsfleet United vs Chelmsford City is played on March 9, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Kuflink Stadium, in the National League - South.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Ebbsfleet United vs Chelmsford City: prediction and stats

National League - SouthNational League South - 38Kick-off on March 9, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Kuflink Stadium, Northfleet, Kent

Ebbsfleet United

Chelmsford City

The Footlab model makes Ebbsfleet United the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for Chelmsford City. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Ebbsfleet United vs Chelmsford City?

A very open match: only 25 Elo points separate Ebbsfleet United (1,817) and Chelmsford City (1,842).

Ebbsfleet United win44 %

Draw24 %

Chelmsford City win31 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ebbsfleet United have 8 wins, 0 draws and 7 defeats; Chelmsford City have 4, 7 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Ebbsfleet United
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Jul 31, 2026	Gillingham(home)	1-2	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 28, 2026	Cray Valley PM(away)	3-2	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 21, 2026	West Ham United U21(home)	1-2	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 7, 2026	Dartford(away)	1-2	Friendlies Clubs
Apr 25, 2026	Worthing(away)	0-2	National League - South

Chelmsford City
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Folkestone Invicta(away)	1-1	National League - South
Aug 15, 2026	Truro City(home)	0-0	National League - South
Aug 8, 2026	Hemel Hempstead Town(away)	1-1	National League - South
Apr 25, 2026	Eastbourne Borough(home)	1-3	National League - South
Apr 18, 2026	Chesham United(away)	2-0	National League - South

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Ebbsfleet United win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Chelmsford City win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Dec 20, 2025	Chelmsford City 0-1 Ebbsfleet United	National League - South
Aug 19, 2025	Ebbsfleet United 1-0 Chelmsford City	National League - South
Feb 25, 2023	Chelmsford City 0-1 Ebbsfleet United	National League - South
Jan 17, 2023	Ebbsfleet United 2-0 Chelmsford City	National League - South
May 7, 2022	Ebbsfleet United 2-1 Chelmsford City	National League - South
Aug 30, 2021	Chelmsford City 0-0 Ebbsfleet United	National League - South

Last archived meeting: Chelmsford City vs Ebbsfleet United on Dec 20, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Ebbsfleet United score 1.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Chelmsford City score 1.5 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Ebbsfleet United	1.9	1.5	3	10/15	13/15
Chelmsford City	1.5	1.4	5	9/15	6/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
17	Chelmsford City	3	0	3	0	2	2	3

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Ebbsfleet United vs Chelmsford City?: The Footlab model makes Ebbsfleet United the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for Chelmsford City.
Where and when is Ebbsfleet United vs Chelmsford City played?: Ebbsfleet United vs Chelmsford City is played on March 9, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Kuflink Stadium, in the National League - South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.