Forest Green vs Barrow: prediction and stats
National LeagueRegular Season - 26Kick-off on January 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Bolt New Lawn, Nailsworth, Gloucestershire
The Footlab model makes Forest Green the favourite at 63%, against 21% for a draw and 16% for Barrow. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Forest Green vs Barrow?
Forest Green starts as the favourite with a 222-point Elo edge (1,847 vs 1,625).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Forest Green have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Barrow have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Boreham Wood(home) | 0-3 | National League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Worthing(away) | 2-1 | National League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FC Halifax Town(home) | 3-2 | National League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Swindon Town(home) | 1-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Bristol City(home) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Harrogate Town(away) | 2-2 | National League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | AFC Hornchurch(home) | 1-2 | National League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Hartlepool(away) | 0-2 | National League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Morecambe(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Blackpool(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Forest Green win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Barrow win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2024 | Barrow 1-2 Forest Green | League Two |
| Oct 24, 2023 | Forest Green 0-2 Barrow | League Two |
| Apr 15, 2022 | Barrow 4-0 Forest Green | League Two |
| Nov 23, 2021 | Forest Green 2-0 Barrow | League Two |
| Apr 27, 2021 | Forest Green 0-2 Barrow | League Two |
| Nov 21, 2020 | Barrow 2-2 Forest Green | League Two |
Last archived meeting: Barrow vs Forest Green on Feb 13, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Forest Green score 2.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Barrow score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forest Green | 2.1 | 1.7 | 2 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
| Barrow | 1.3 | 1.5 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Forest Green sit 10th in National League (6 points from 3 matches) and Barrow sit 20th (1 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Forest Green | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 6 |
| 20 | Barrow | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Forest Green vs Barrow?
- The Footlab model makes Forest Green the favourite at 63%, against 21% for a draw and 16% for Barrow.
- Where and when is Forest Green vs Barrow played?
- Forest Green vs Barrow is played on January 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Bolt New Lawn, in the National League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.