Tamworth vs Gateshead: prediction and stats
National LeagueRegular Season - 26Kick-off on January 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Lamb Ground, Tamworth, Staffordshire
The Footlab AI model makes Tamworth the favourite at 62%, against 20% for a draw and 18% for Gateshead. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,443 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tamworth vs Gateshead?
Tamworth starts as the favourite with a 143-point Elo edge (1,785 vs 1,641).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Tamworth vs Gateshead
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Tamworth
4-3-3- 10K. Donnelly
- 23J. Hutchinson
- 9D. Creaney
- 16R. Calder
- 19T. McGlinchey
- 4T. Kurtaran
- 12J. Rye
- 14O. Dyson
- 5T. Parkes
- 3T. Handley
- 39R. Lovett
Gateshead
4-3-3- 21M. Spellman
- 7J. Hiwula
- 29F. Issaka
- 4Josh Home
- 20F. John
- 25A. McCalmont
- 5A. Lankshear
- 3D. Ferguson
- 28H. Holgate
- 6Jack Robinson
- 12P. Jameson
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 04:36 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tamworth have 6 wins, 1 draw and 8 defeats; Gateshead have 1, 3 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Barrow(home) | 1-2 | National League |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Leeds United U21(home) | 1-0 | National League Cup |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Hartlepool(away) | 1-0 | National League |
| Sep 30, 2026 | Sutton Utd(home) | 2-0 | National League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Aldershot Town(away) | 1-5 | National League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Wolves U21(home) | 0-0 | National League Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | FC Halifax Town(away) | 1-4 | National League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Worthing(home) | 1-2 | National League |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Altrincham(home) | 0-1 | National League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Wealdstone(away) | 0-4 | National League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Tamworth wins, 0 draws, 3 Gateshead wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2026 | Tamworth 3-1 Gateshead | National League |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Gateshead 2-1 Tamworth | National League |
| Mar 22, 2025 | Gateshead 0-2 Tamworth | National League |
| Oct 8, 2024 | Tamworth 2-1 Gateshead | National League |
| Apr 5, 2014 | Gateshead 5-0 Tamworth | National League |
| Sep 21, 2013 | Tamworth 0-1 Gateshead | National League |
How many goals should we expect?
Tamworth score 1.7 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Gateshead score 0.6 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tamworth | 1.7 | 2.2 | 3 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
| Gateshead | 0.6 | 2.2 | 2 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tamworth sit 18th in National League (14 points from 13 matches) and Gateshead sit 24th (4 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Tamworth | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 21 | 30 | 14 |
| 24 | Gateshead | 13 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 8 | 31 | 4 |
A question about Tamworth vs Gateshead?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tamworth vs Gateshead?
- The Footlab AI model makes Tamworth the favourite at 62%, against 20% for a draw and 18% for Gateshead.
- Where and when is Tamworth vs Gateshead played?
- Tamworth vs Gateshead is played on January 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Lamb Ground, in the National League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.