Sutton Utd vs Harrogate Town: prediction and stats
National LeagueRegular Season - 26Kick-off on January 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)VBS Community Stadium, Sutton, Surrey
The Footlab model makes Sutton Utd the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Harrogate Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sutton Utd vs Harrogate Town?
A very open match: only 74 Elo points separate Sutton Utd (1,781) and Harrogate Town (1,708).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sutton Utd have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Harrogate Town have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hartlepool(home) | 2-1 | National League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Leicester City U21(home) | 0-0 | National League Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Altrincham(home) | 1-0 | National League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Woking(away) | 3-0 | National League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Southampton U21(home) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Barrow(home) | 2-2 | National League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Wealdstone(away) | 3-1 | National League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Solihull Moors(home) | 5-2 | National League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Scarborough Athletic(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Doncaster(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Sutton Utd win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Harrogate Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2024 | Harrogate Town 2-2 Sutton Utd | League Two |
| Jan 30, 2024 | Sutton Utd 1-2 Harrogate Town | League Two |
| Jan 28, 2023 | Harrogate Town 0-1 Sutton Utd | League Two |
| Sep 3, 2022 | Sutton Utd 2-1 Harrogate Town | League Two |
| May 7, 2022 | Harrogate Town 0-2 Sutton Utd | League Two |
| Jan 25, 2022 | Sutton Utd 1-0 Harrogate Town | EFL Trophy |
Last archived meeting: Harrogate Town vs Sutton Utd on Apr 13, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Sutton Utd score 1.3 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Harrogate Town score 1.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sutton Utd | 1.3 | 1.2 | 5 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Harrogate Town | 1.9 | 1.3 | 3 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sutton Utd sit 2nd in National League (9 points from 3 matches) and Harrogate Town sit 3rd (7 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Sutton Utd | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 9 |
| 3 | Harrogate Town | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 5 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sutton Utd vs Harrogate Town?
- The Footlab model makes Sutton Utd the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Harrogate Town.
- Where and when is Sutton Utd vs Harrogate Town played?
- Sutton Utd vs Harrogate Town is played on January 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at VBS Community Stadium, in the National League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.