Sutton Utd vs Harrogate Town: prediction and stats
National LeagueRegular Season - 26Kick-off on January 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)VBS Community Stadium, Sutton, Surrey
The Footlab AI model makes Sutton Utd the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Harrogate Town. The most likely score is 1-1. If Sutton Utd wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,382 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sutton Utd vs Harrogate Town?
A very open match: only 55 Elo points separate Sutton Utd (1,762) and Harrogate Town (1,817).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Sutton Utd vs Harrogate Town
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Sutton Utd
4-3-3- 9T. Babalola
- 16B. Njoku
- 18D. Ogbonna
- 8J. Taylor
- 7E. Osadebe
- 14O. Mussa
- 5W. Nightingale
- 27B. Brookes
- 15J. Moore-Taylor
- 12D. Urpens
- 1S. Brits
Harrogate Town
4-3-3- 23B. Dolaghan
- 9S. McCoulsky
- 18J. Muldoon
- 3E. Bristow
- 14M. Williams
- 11W. McGowan
- 24L. Cass
- 4A. Baptiste
- 16S. Dreyer
- 26G. Horton
- 34L. Hutchinson
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 06:58 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sutton Utd have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Harrogate Town have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | West Bromwich Albion U21(home) | 3-2 | National League Cup |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Boreham Wood(home) | 0-2 | National League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Kidderminster Harriers(away) | 1-1 | National League |
| Sep 30, 2026 | Tamworth(away) | 0-2 | National League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Forest Green(home) | 3-3 | National League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Woking(away) | 1-0 | National League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | AFC Hornchurch(home) | 3-0 | National League |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Hartlepool(away) | 1-0 | National League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Eastleigh(home) | 4-1 | National League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Boreham Wood(away) | 1-4 | National League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Sutton Utd wins, 1 draw, 1 Harrogate Town win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2024 | Harrogate Town 2-2 Sutton Utd | League Two |
| Jan 30, 2024 | Sutton Utd 1-2 Harrogate Town | League Two |
| Jan 28, 2023 | Harrogate Town 0-1 Sutton Utd | League Two |
| Sep 3, 2022 | Sutton Utd 2-1 Harrogate Town | League Two |
| May 7, 2022 | Harrogate Town 0-2 Sutton Utd | League Two |
| Jan 25, 2022 | Sutton Utd 1-0 Harrogate Town | EFL Trophy |
Last archived meeting: Harrogate Town vs Sutton Utd on Apr 13, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Sutton Utd score 1.0 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Harrogate Town score 2.2 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sutton Utd | 1.0 | 1.4 | 3 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Harrogate Town | 2.2 | 1.3 | 4 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sutton Utd sit 13th in National League (18 points from 13 matches) and Harrogate Town sit 2nd (28 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Harrogate Town | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 28 |
| 13 | Sutton Utd | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 18 | 18 |
A question about Sutton Utd vs Harrogate Town?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sutton Utd vs Harrogate Town?
- The Footlab AI model makes Sutton Utd the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Harrogate Town.
- Where and when is Sutton Utd vs Harrogate Town played?
- Sutton Utd vs Harrogate Town is played on January 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at VBS Community Stadium, in the National League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.