AFC Fylde vs Boreham Wood: prediction and stats
National LeagueRegular Season - 26Kick-off on January 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Mill Farm Stadium, Wesham
The Footlab model makes Boreham Wood the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for AFC Fylde. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win AFC Fylde vs Boreham Wood?
A very open match: only 65 Elo points separate AFC Fylde (1,914) and Boreham Wood (1,979).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AFC Fylde have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Boreham Wood have 12, 2 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Woking(away) | 2-3 | National League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Tamworth(away) | 2-1 | National League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Wealdstone(home) | 2-2 | National League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Rylands(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Morecambe(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Forest Green(away) | 3-0 | National League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Leeds United U21(home) | 5-2 | National League Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FC Halifax Town(away) | 3-1 | National League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Tamworth(home) | 3-3 | National League |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Norwich City U21(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 AFC Fylde win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Boreham Wood win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2024 | Boreham Wood 4-0 AFC Fylde | National League |
| Sep 26, 2023 | AFC Fylde 2-2 Boreham Wood | National League |
| Feb 1, 2020 | AFC Fylde 1-2 Boreham Wood | National League |
| Oct 26, 2019 | Boreham Wood 0-2 AFC Fylde | National League |
| Mar 9, 2019 | Boreham Wood 1-1 AFC Fylde | National League |
| Nov 24, 2018 | AFC Fylde 2-1 Boreham Wood | National League |
Last archived meeting: Boreham Wood vs AFC Fylde on Feb 24, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
AFC Fylde score 1.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Boreham Wood score 2.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AFC Fylde | 1.9 | 1.7 | 2 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Boreham Wood | 2.3 | 1.1 | 5 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
AFC Fylde sit 13th in National League (4 points from 3 matches) and Boreham Wood sit 4th (7 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Boreham Wood | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 7 |
| 13 | AFC Fylde | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for AFC Fylde vs Boreham Wood?
- The Footlab model makes Boreham Wood the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for AFC Fylde.
- Where and when is AFC Fylde vs Boreham Wood played?
- AFC Fylde vs Boreham Wood is played on January 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Mill Farm Stadium, in the National League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.