Forest Green vs Harrogate Town: prediction and stats
National LeagueRegular Season - 16Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)The Bolt New Lawn, Nailsworth, Gloucestershire
The Footlab model makes Forest Green the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 21% for Harrogate Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Forest Green vs Harrogate Town?
Forest Green starts as the favourite with a 146-point Elo edge (1,854 vs 1,708).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Forest Green have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Harrogate Town have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Boreham Wood(home) | 0-3 | National League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Worthing(away) | 2-1 | National League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FC Halifax Town(home) | 3-2 | National League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Swindon Town(home) | 1-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Bristol City(home) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Barrow(home) | 2-2 | National League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Wealdstone(away) | 3-1 | National League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Solihull Moors(home) | 5-2 | National League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Scarborough Athletic(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Doncaster(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Forest Green win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Harrogate Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2024 | Forest Green 0-2 Harrogate Town | League Two |
| Aug 12, 2023 | Harrogate Town 0-1 Forest Green | League Two |
| Apr 30, 2022 | Forest Green 1-3 Harrogate Town | League Two |
| Dec 7, 2021 | Harrogate Town 1-4 Forest Green | League Two |
| Mar 13, 2021 | Forest Green 2-1 Harrogate Town | League Two |
| Dec 5, 2020 | Harrogate Town 0-1 Forest Green | League Two |
Last archived meeting: Forest Green vs Harrogate Town on Jan 13, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Forest Green score 2.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Harrogate Town score 1.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forest Green | 2.1 | 1.7 | 2 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
| Harrogate Town | 1.9 | 1.3 | 3 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Forest Green sit 10th in National League (6 points from 3 matches) and Harrogate Town sit 3rd (7 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Harrogate Town | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 5 | 7 |
| 10 | Forest Green | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Forest Green vs Harrogate Town?
- The Footlab model makes Forest Green the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 21% for Harrogate Town.
- Where and when is Forest Green vs Harrogate Town played?
- Forest Green vs Harrogate Town is played on October 31, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at The Bolt New Lawn, in the National League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.