Altrincham vs Carlisle: prediction and stats
National LeagueRegular Season - 16Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The J. Davidson Stadium, Altrincham, Cheshire
The Footlab AI model makes Carlisle the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Altrincham. The most likely score is 1-1. If Carlisle wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,985 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 22, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Altrincham vs Carlisle?
A very open match: only 62 Elo points separate Altrincham (1,914) and Carlisle (1,976).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Altrincham vs Carlisle
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Altrincham
4-3-3- 15S. Taylor
- 14M. Kosylo
- 11J. Knowles
- 22T. Crawford
- 10A. Barlow
- 8L. Humbles
- 2L. Banks
- 21R. Lopata-White
- 5J. Southern-Cooper
- 24S. Barnes
- 13A. Firth
Carlisle
4-3-3- 7D. Ajiboye
- 10R. Linney
- 9G. Kelly
- 6M. Azeez
- 4H. Bunker
- 30T. Jenks
- 15B. Nicholson
- 17L. Duru
- 5M. Feeney
- 18J. Ellis
- 1A. Desbois
Computed on October 22, 2026 at 07:09 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Altrincham have 9 wins, 1 draw and 5 defeats; Carlisle have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2026 | United of Manchester(away) | 6-2 | FA Cup |
| Oct 17, 2026 | United of Manchester(home) | 0-0 | FA Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Aldershot Town(home) | 3-1 | National League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Boreham Wood(away) | 1-3 | National League |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Gateshead(away) | 1-0 | National League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Tamworth(home) | 2-1 | FA Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Kidderminster Harriers(home) | 0-0 | National League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Aldershot Town(away) | 3-1 | National League |
| Sep 29, 2026 | AFC Fylde(away) | 2-0 | National League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Woking(home) | 2-5 | National League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Altrincham wins, 0 draws, 2 Carlisle wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | Carlisle 3-1 Altrincham | National League |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Altrincham 1-2 Carlisle | National League |
Last archived meeting: Carlisle vs Altrincham on Jan 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Altrincham score 1.7 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Carlisle score 1.9 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Altrincham | 1.7 | 1.4 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Carlisle | 1.9 | 1.4 | 3 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Altrincham sit 6th in National League (24 points from 13 matches) and Carlisle sit 14th (17 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Altrincham | 13 | 8 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 19 | 24 |
| 14 | Carlisle | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 23 | 20 | 17 |
A question about Altrincham vs Carlisle?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Altrincham vs Carlisle?
- The Footlab AI model makes Carlisle the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Altrincham.
- Where and when is Altrincham vs Carlisle played?
- Altrincham vs Carlisle is played on October 31, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The J. Davidson Stadium, in the National League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.