Luton vs Forest Green: prediction and stats
FA Cup1/128-finalsKick-off on November 7, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Kenilworth Road, Luton, Bedfordshire
The Footlab AI model makes Luton the favourite at 69%, against 18% for a draw and 13% for Forest Green. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,449 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Luton vs Forest Green?
Luton starts as the favourite with a 122-point Elo edge (1,926 vs 1,804).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Luton vs Forest Green
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Luton
4-1-4-1- 21N. Wells
- 8L. Walsh
- 45K. Palmer
- 10J. Donley
- 18J. Clark
- 17T. Mendel-Idowu
- 5M. Andersen
- 6G. Johnston
- 25I. Jones
- 3K. Naismith
- 1J. Shea
Forest Green
4-3-3- 7K. McAllister
- 31W. Grigg
- 20Sean Etaluku
- 6T. Campbell
- 29K. Abrefa
- 4J. Clarke
- 26Filozofe Mabete
- 24T. Mcintyre
- 27F. Sass
- 3N. Kengni
- 12L. McNicholas
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 02:32 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Luton have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Forest Green have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2026 | Huddersfield(away) | 1-1 | League One |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Peterborough(away) | 2-0 | League One |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Doncaster(home) | 3-1 | League One |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Leicester(home) | 2-1 | League One |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Barnsley(home) | 2-1 | League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Harrogate Town(home) | 2-2 | National League |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Eastleigh(home) | 2-0 | National League |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Chesham United(home) | 5-0 | FA Cup |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Chesham United(away) | 0-0 | FA Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Hartlepool(home) | 2-4 | National League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Luton wins, 2 draws, 0 Forest Green wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2025 | Luton 4-3 Forest Green | FA Cup |
| Apr 28, 2018 | Luton 3-1 Forest Green | League Two |
| Dec 16, 2017 | Forest Green 0-2 Luton | League Two |
| Apr 21, 2014 | Luton 4-1 Forest Green | National League |
| Aug 24, 2013 | Forest Green 0-0 Luton | National League |
| Feb 9, 2013 | Luton 1-1 Forest Green | National League |
Last archived meeting: Luton vs Forest Green on Oct 31, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Luton score 1.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Forest Green score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luton | 1.9 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Forest Green | 1.7 | 1.5 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Luton vs Forest Green?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Luton vs Forest Green?
- The Footlab AI model makes Luton the favourite at 69%, against 18% for a draw and 13% for Forest Green.
- Where and when is Luton vs Forest Green played?
- Luton vs Forest Green is played on November 7, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Kenilworth Road, in the FA Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.