Scarborough Athletic vs Buxton: prediction and stats
National League - NorthNational League North - 16Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Flamingo Land Stadium, Scarborough, North Yorkshire
The Footlab AI model makes Scarborough Athletic the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Buxton. The most likely score is 1-1. If Scarborough Athletic wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,618 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Scarborough Athletic vs Buxton?
A very open match: only 31 Elo points separate Scarborough Athletic (1,875) and Buxton (1,906).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Scarborough Athletic vs Buxton
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Scarborough Athletic
Not enough data to predict the Scarborough Athletic lineup.
Buxton
Not enough data to predict the Buxton lineup.
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 08:24 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Scarborough Athletic have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Buxton have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Hebburn Town(away) | 2-0 | National League - North |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Radcliffe(away) | 1-4 | National League - North |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Macclesfield(home) | 1-2 | FA Cup |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Macclesfield(away) | 2-2 | FA Cup |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Brackley Town(away) | 1-1 | National League - North |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Worksop Town(home) | 2-2 | National League - North |
| Oct 10, 2026 | King's Lynn Town(away) | 0-1 | National League - North |
| Oct 3, 2026 | South Shields(home) | 0-2 | FA Cup |
| Sep 26, 2026 | South Shields(away) | 0-4 | National League - North |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Ashton United(home) | 1-0 | FA Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Scarborough Athletic win, 1 draw, 4 Buxton wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 2026 | Buxton 4-2 Scarborough Athletic | National League - North |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Buxton 2-0 Scarborough Athletic | National League - North |
| Sep 2, 2025 | Scarborough Athletic 2-1 Buxton | National League - North |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Scarborough Athletic 0-3 Buxton | National League - North |
| Nov 5, 2024 | Buxton 2-0 Scarborough Athletic | National League - North |
| Mar 2, 2024 | Buxton 0-0 Scarborough Athletic | National League - North |
Last archived meeting: Buxton vs Scarborough Athletic on Apr 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Scarborough Athletic score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Buxton score 1.5 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scarborough Athletic | 1.5 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Buxton | 1.5 | 1.6 | 2 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Scarborough Athletic sit 14th in National League - North (15 points from 12 matches) and Buxton sit 11th (17 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Buxton | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 20 | 21 | 17 |
| 14 | Scarborough Athletic | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 16 | 15 |
A question about Scarborough Athletic vs Buxton?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Scarborough Athletic vs Buxton?
- The Footlab AI model makes Scarborough Athletic the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Buxton.
- Where and when is Scarborough Athletic vs Buxton played?
- Scarborough Athletic vs Buxton is played on November 7, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Flamingo Land Stadium, in the National League - North.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.