Scarborough Athletic vs Buxton: prediction and stats
National League - NorthNational League North - 16Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Flamingo Land Stadium, Scarborough, North Yorkshire
The Footlab model makes Buxton the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Scarborough Athletic. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Scarborough Athletic vs Buxton?
A very open match: only 54 Elo points separate Scarborough Athletic (1,830) and Buxton (1,883).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Scarborough Athletic have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Buxton have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Chorley(away) | 1-2 | National League - North |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Spennymoor Town(home) | 3-0 | National League - North |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hednesford Town(away) | 4-3 | National League - North |
| Aug 8, 2026 | South Shields(home) | 0-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Harrogate Town(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hebburn Town(home) | 1-2 | National League - North |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Bedford Town(away) | 1-2 | National League - North |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Southport(away) | 1-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Hereford(home) | 2-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Warrington Town(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Scarborough Athletic win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Buxton win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 2026 | Buxton 4-2 Scarborough Athletic | National League - North |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Buxton 2-0 Scarborough Athletic | National League - North |
| Sep 2, 2025 | Scarborough Athletic 2-1 Buxton | National League - North |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Scarborough Athletic 0-3 Buxton | National League - North |
| Nov 5, 2024 | Buxton 2-0 Scarborough Athletic | National League - North |
| Mar 2, 2024 | Buxton 0-0 Scarborough Athletic | National League - North |
Last archived meeting: Buxton vs Scarborough Athletic on Apr 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Scarborough Athletic score 1.3 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Buxton score 2.1 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scarborough Athletic | 1.3 | 1.4 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Buxton | 2.1 | 1.2 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Scarborough Athletic sit 8th in National League - North (6 points from 4 matches) and Buxton sit 14th (4 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Scarborough Athletic | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 6 |
| 14 | Buxton | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Scarborough Athletic vs Buxton?
- The Footlab model makes Buxton the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Scarborough Athletic.
- Where and when is Scarborough Athletic vs Buxton played?
- Scarborough Athletic vs Buxton is played on November 7, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Flamingo Land Stadium, in the National League - North.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.