Forfar Athletic vs Kelty Hearts: prediction and stats
League TwoRegular Season - 20Kick-off on January 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Station Park, Forfar
The Footlab AI model makes Forfar Athletic the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Kelty Hearts. The most likely score is 1-1. If Forfar Athletic wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,576 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Forfar Athletic vs Kelty Hearts?
A very open match: only 9 Elo points separate Forfar Athletic (1,443) and Kelty Hearts (1,453).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Forfar Athletic vs Kelty Hearts
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Forfar Athletic
4-3-3- 9S. Shepherd
- 22Luca Perrie
- 10M. Rennie
- 16A. Arnott
- 19E. Crombie
- 12B. Alston
- 4J. Wyllie
- 15Mackenzie Lemon
- 14A. Mailer
- 5M. Allan
- 21Neil Stafford
Kelty Hearts
4-1-3-2- 11R. Cole
- 9K. Higginbotham
- 14J. Hislop
- 10I. Murray
- 26R. Cunningham
- 17M. Falconer
- 15A. Davidson
- 5C. Flatman
- 25G. Walker
- 3C. Hannah
- 1J. Smith
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 06:16 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Forfar Athletic have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Kelty Hearts have 7, 0 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Kelty Hearts(away) | 1-2 | League Two |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Ross County(away) | 1-2 | Challenge Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Elgin City(home) | 1-2 | League Two |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Dumbarton(away) | 1-2 | League Two |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Formartine United(home) | 2-0 | Challenge Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Forfar Athletic(home) | 2-1 | League Two |
| Oct 13, 2026 | East Kilbride(away) | 1-2 | Challenge Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Stirling Albion(away) | 1-2 | League Two |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Spartans(away) | 2-0 | League Two |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Montrose(home) | 2-1 | Challenge Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Forfar Athletic wins, 1 draw, 3 Kelty Hearts wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Kelty Hearts 2-1 Forfar Athletic | League Two |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Forfar Athletic 1-0 Kelty Hearts | League Two |
| Aug 23, 2022 | Forfar Athletic 1-2 Kelty Hearts | Challenge Cup |
| Apr 23, 2022 | Kelty Hearts 1-1 Forfar Athletic | League Two |
| Feb 19, 2022 | Forfar Athletic 1-0 Kelty Hearts | League Two |
| Nov 13, 2021 | Kelty Hearts 1-0 Forfar Athletic | League Two |
Last archived meeting: Kelty Hearts vs Forfar Athletic on Oct 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Forfar Athletic score 1.0 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Kelty Hearts score 1.9 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forfar Athletic | 1.0 | 1.8 | 3 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Kelty Hearts | 1.9 | 2.2 | 2 | 12/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Forfar Athletic sit 7th in League Two (11 points from 10 matches) and Kelty Hearts sit 5th (12 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Kelty Hearts | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 14 | 20 | 12 |
| 7 | Forfar Athletic | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 11 |
A question about Forfar Athletic vs Kelty Hearts?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Forfar Athletic vs Kelty Hearts?
- The Footlab AI model makes Forfar Athletic the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Kelty Hearts.
- Where and when is Forfar Athletic vs Kelty Hearts played?
- Forfar Athletic vs Kelty Hearts is played on January 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Station Park, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.