Stranraer vs Kelty Hearts: prediction and stats
League TwoRegular Season - 21Kick-off on January 9, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stair Park, Stranraer
The Footlab AI model makes Stranraer the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Kelty Hearts. The most likely score is 1-1. If Stranraer wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 3,118 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 23, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Stranraer vs Kelty Hearts?
Stranraer starts as the favourite with a 112-point Elo edge (1,542 vs 1,430).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Stranraer vs Kelty Hearts
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Stranraer
4-1-3-2- 16Lewis Dobbie
- 11A. Healy
- 8A. Quigg
- 12A. Traynor
- 24S. Mason
- 14Z. Bruce
- 4M. McLuckie
- 2E. Dunne
- 5Kenzi Nair
- 3F. Ecrepont
- 1M. Currie
Kelty Hearts
4-1-3-2- 11R. Cole
- 9K. Higginbotham
- 14J. Hislop
- 10I. Murray
- 26R. Cunningham
- 17M. Falconer
- 5C. Flatman
- 25G. Walker
- 3C. Hannah
- 15A. Davidson
- 1J. Smith
Computed on October 23, 2026 at 02:59 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stranraer have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Kelty Hearts have 7, 0 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Spartans(away) | 2-0 | League Two |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Kilmarnock II(home) | 3-3 | Challenge Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Annan Athletic(away) | 6-1 | League Two |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Edinburgh City(home) | 0-0 | League Two |
| Sep 26, 2026 | East Kilbride(home) | 4-3 | Challenge Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Forfar Athletic(home) | 2-1 | League Two |
| Oct 13, 2026 | East Kilbride(away) | 1-2 | Challenge Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Stirling Albion(away) | 1-2 | League Two |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Spartans(away) | 2-0 | League Two |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Montrose(home) | 2-1 | Challenge Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Stranraer win, 0 draws, 5 Kelty Hearts wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 29, 2026 | Stranraer 2-0 Kelty Hearts | League Two |
| Sep 6, 2025 | Kelty Hearts 3-0 Stranraer | Challenge Cup |
| Jul 25, 2023 | Kelty Hearts 2-0 Stranraer | League Cup |
| Apr 16, 2022 | Stranraer 0-3 Kelty Hearts | League Two |
| Jan 29, 2022 | Kelty Hearts 3-2 Stranraer | League Two |
| Dec 18, 2021 | Stranraer 0-4 Kelty Hearts | League Two |
Last archived meeting: Stranraer vs Kelty Hearts on Aug 29, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Stranraer score 2.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Kelty Hearts score 1.9 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stranraer | 2.7 | 1.3 | 6 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Kelty Hearts | 1.9 | 2.2 | 2 | 12/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Stranraer sit 1st in League Two (23 points from 11 matches) and Kelty Hearts sit 5th (15 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stranraer | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 25 | 9 | 23 |
| 5 | Kelty Hearts | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 21 | 15 |
A question about Stranraer vs Kelty Hearts?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Stranraer vs Kelty Hearts?
- The Footlab AI model makes Stranraer the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Kelty Hearts.
- Where and when is Stranraer vs Kelty Hearts played?
- Stranraer vs Kelty Hearts is played on January 9, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stair Park, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.