Edinburgh City vs Elgin City: prediction and stats
League TwoMatchday 20Kick-off on January 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Meadowbank Stadium, Edinburgh
The Footlab AI model makes Elgin City the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Edinburgh City. The most likely score is 1-1. If Elgin City wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,490 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 12, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Edinburgh City vs Elgin City?
A very open match: only 32 Elo points separate Edinburgh City (1,507) and Elgin City (1,539).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Edinburgh City vs Elgin City
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Edinburgh City
4-3-3- 7L. Walker
- 20T. North
- 11I. Lawson
- 18M. Aiken
- 21F. Rowe
- 10J. Jarvis
- 2C. McGinn
- 23J. McGregor
- 5J. Grigor
- 4C. Pitt
- 22S. Dowie
Elgin City
3-4-3- 9K. Hester
- 10M. Gallagher
- 11O. Colloty
- 7R. Dingwall
- 22J. Maciver
- 77L. Scullion
- 24Lewis Mackay
- 2M. Neill
- 5K. Girvan
- 6J. Murray
- 1T. Ritchie
Computed on November 12, 2026 at 12:16 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Edinburgh City have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Elgin City have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Forfar Athletic(away) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Nov 3, 2026 | Partick(home) | 0-3 | Challenge Cup |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Dumbarton(home) | 2-1 | League Two |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Kelty Hearts(home) | 4-1 | FA Cup |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Elgin City(away) | 0-0 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Dumbarton(home) | 0-2 | League Two |
| Nov 3, 2026 | Airdrie United(away) | 0-5 | Challenge Cup |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Kelty Hearts(away) | 1-0 | League Two |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Stirling University(away) | 2-1 | FA Cup |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Edinburgh City(home) | 0-0 | League Two |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Edinburgh City win, 1 draw, 4 Elgin City wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Elgin City 0-0 Edinburgh City | League Two |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Edinburgh City 0-5 Elgin City | League Two |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Edinburgh City 0-3 Elgin City | League Two |
| Feb 24, 2026 | Elgin City 3-0 Edinburgh City | League Two |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Edinburgh City 1-3 Elgin City | League Two |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Elgin City 2-4 Edinburgh City | League Two |
Last archived meeting: Elgin City vs Edinburgh City on Oct 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Edinburgh City score 1.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Elgin City score 1.9 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edinburgh City | 1.5 | 1.7 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Elgin City | 1.9 | 1.4 | 6 | 5/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Edinburgh City sit 7th in League Two (15 points from 13 matches) and Elgin City sit 3rd (21 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Elgin City | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 28 | 19 | 21 |
| 7 | Edinburgh City | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 23 | 20 | 15 |
A question about Edinburgh City vs Elgin City?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Edinburgh City vs Elgin City?
- The Footlab AI model makes Elgin City the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Edinburgh City.
- Where and when is Edinburgh City vs Elgin City played?
- Edinburgh City vs Elgin City is played on January 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Meadowbank Stadium, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.