Stirling Albion vs Dumbarton: prediction and stats
League TwoRegular Season - 20Kick-off on January 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Forthbank Stadium, Stirling
The Footlab AI model makes Stirling Albion the favourite at 53%, against 23% for a draw and 24% for Dumbarton. The most likely score is 1-1. If Stirling Albion wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,867 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Stirling Albion vs Dumbarton?
On Elo ratings, Stirling Albion has 1,427 points and Dumbarton 1,410.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Stirling Albion vs Dumbarton
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Stirling Albion
4-5-1- 2M. Thomas
- 5R. McNab
- 14J. Mullin
- 22Billy Hutchinson
- 25Danny Dobbie
- 26Z. Cameron
- 23K. Waugh
- 30C. Crane
- 16S. Denham
- 24G. Ali
- 1A. McNeil
Dumbarton
5-3-2- 21S. Honeyman
- 20Robert James Karl Cleary
- 8J. Todd
- 6O. Hartington
- 10D. Craig
- 24M. Doyle
- 3A. Omar
- 5T. Lang
- 19C. McKenna
- 34T. Robson
- 54M. Munn
Computed on October 20, 2026 at 07:09 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stirling Albion have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Dumbarton have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Dumbarton(away) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Hibernian U21(home) | 2-2 | Challenge Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Kelty Hearts(home) | 2-1 | League Two |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Annan Athletic(away) | 1-0 | League Two |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Fraserburgh(away) | 3-4 | Challenge Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Stirling Albion(home) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Clydebank(away) | 0-4 | Challenge Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Clyde(away) | 1-2 | League Two |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Forfar Athletic(home) | 2-1 | League Two |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Banks O' Dee(home) | 3-2 | Challenge Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Stirling Albion wins, 3 draws, 1 Dumbarton win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Dumbarton 1-1 Stirling Albion | League Two |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Stirling Albion 2-0 Dumbarton | League Two |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Dumbarton 2-1 Stirling Albion | League Two |
| Feb 28, 2026 | Stirling Albion 1-1 Dumbarton | League Two |
| Dec 27, 2025 | Dumbarton 1-2 Stirling Albion | League Two |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Stirling Albion 2-2 Dumbarton | League Two |
Last archived meeting: Dumbarton vs Stirling Albion on Oct 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Stirling Albion score 1.7 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Dumbarton score 1.4 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stirling Albion | 1.7 | 2.2 | 1 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Dumbarton | 1.4 | 2.3 | 1 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Stirling Albion sit 7th in League Two (12 points from 11 matches) and Dumbarton sit 6th (13 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Dumbarton | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 18 | 13 |
| 7 | Stirling Albion | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 24 | 12 |
A question about Stirling Albion vs Dumbarton?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Stirling Albion vs Dumbarton?
- The Footlab AI model makes Stirling Albion the favourite at 53%, against 23% for a draw and 24% for Dumbarton.
- Where and when is Stirling Albion vs Dumbarton played?
- Stirling Albion vs Dumbarton is played on January 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Forthbank Stadium, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.