Where and when is Forge vs Atlético Ottawa played?

Forge vs Atlético Ottawa is played on September 12, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC) at Hamilton Stadium, in the Canadian Premier League.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Forge vs Atlético Ottawa: prediction and stats

Canadian Premier LeagueGroup StageKick-off on September 12, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC)Hamilton Stadium, Hamilton

Forge

Atlético Ottawa

The Footlab model makes Forge the favourite at 63%, against 22% for a draw and 15% for Atlético Ottawa. The most likely score is 2-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Forge vs Atlético Ottawa?

A very open match: only 89 Elo points separate Forge (1,849) and Atlético Ottawa (1,761).

Forge win63 %

Draw22 %

Atlético Ottawa win15 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Forge have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Atlético Ottawa have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Forge
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Pacific FC(home)	2-0	Canadian Premier League
Aug 19, 2026	Supra du Quebec(home)	3-2	Canadian Premier League
Aug 15, 2026	Cavalry FC(away)	1-2	Canadian Premier League
Aug 7, 2026	Vancouver FC(home)	0-1	Canadian Premier League
Aug 2, 2026	HFX Wanderers FC(away)	0-0	Canadian Premier League

Atlético Ottawa
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Cavalry FC(away)	1-3	Canadian Premier League
Aug 19, 2026	Vancouver FC(home)	4-0	Canadian Premier League
Aug 16, 2026	Supra du Quebec(away)	2-1	Canadian Premier League
Aug 11, 2026	Supra du Quebec(home)	3-3	Canadian Championship
Aug 8, 2026	HFX Wanderers FC(home)	2-1	Canadian Premier League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Forge win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Atlético Ottawa win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 24, 2026	Atlético Ottawa 2-1 Forge	Canadian Premier League
Apr 4, 2026	Forge 2-0 Atlético Ottawa	Canadian Premier League
Oct 26, 2025	Forge 1-2 Atlético Ottawa	Canadian Premier League
Sep 21, 2025	Atlético Ottawa 1-1 Forge	Canadian Premier League
Aug 17, 2025	Forge 2-0 Atlético Ottawa	Canadian Premier League
Jul 12, 2025	Atlético Ottawa 1-1 Forge	Canadian Premier League

Last archived meeting: Atlético Ottawa vs Forge on May 24, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Forge score 1.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Atlético Ottawa score 2.1 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Forge	1.7	0.9	5	9/15	8/15
Atlético Ottawa	2.1	1.9	1	13/15	14/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Forge sit 1st in Canadian Premier League (41 points from 18 matches) and Atlético Ottawa sit 3rd (30 points from 19 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Forge	18	13	2	3	29	13	41
3	Atlético Ottawa	19	9	3	7	32	33	30

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Forge vs Atlético Ottawa?: The Footlab model makes Forge the favourite at 63%, against 22% for a draw and 15% for Atlético Ottawa.
Where and when is Forge vs Atlético Ottawa played?: Forge vs Atlético Ottawa is played on September 12, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC) at Hamilton Stadium, in the Canadian Premier League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.