Match

Atlético Ottawa vs Forge: prediction and stats

Canadian Premier LeagueGroup StageKick-off on October 17, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)TD Place Stadium, Ottawa, Ontario

Atlético OttawaForge

The Footlab AI model makes Forge the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Atlético Ottawa. The most likely score is 1-1. If Forge wins, the most likely score is 1-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Atlético Ottawa vs Forge?

A very open match: only 89 Elo points separate Atlético Ottawa (1,680) and Forge (1,770).

31%25%44%
Atlético Ottawa winDrawForge win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Atlético Ottawa vs Forge

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Atlético Ottawa

4-2-3-1
  1. 21N. Fleuriau Chateau
  1. 13B. Tabla
  2. 10M. Aparicio
  3. 6D. Gutiérrez
  4. 7E. García
  5. 30K. Habibullah
  1. 37T. Arnaud
  2. 84Sergei Kozlovskiy
  3. 20Joaquim Coulanges
  4. 3J. Dunn-Johnson
  1. 31C. Kalongo

Forge

4-3-3
  1. 87M. Bourgeois
  2. 90L. Cavallini
  3. 17H. Massunda
  1. 23A. Aromatario
  2. 8A. Batisse
  3. 22N. Jensen
  1. 5D. Nimick
  2. 24R. Rama
  3. 3M. Jevremović
  4. 6B. Paton
  1. 36Dino Bontis

Computed on October 13, 2026 at 09:33 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atlético Ottawa have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Forge have 6, 6 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Atlético Ottawa
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Pacific FC(away)2-0Canadian Premier League
Sep 30, 2026Cavalry FC(home)3-2Canadian Premier League
Sep 26, 2026HFX Wanderers FC(away)1-0Canadian Premier League
Sep 20, 2026Supra du Quebec(home)0-2Canadian Premier League
Sep 12, 2026Forge(away)0-3Canadian Premier League
Forge
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 12, 2026York United(home)5-0Canadian Premier League
Oct 7, 2026Pacific FC(home)3-0Canadian Premier League
Oct 3, 2026HFX Wanderers FC(home)3-3Canadian Premier League
Sep 26, 2026Vancouver FC(away)1-1Canadian Premier League
Sep 19, 2026Cavalry FC(away)1-1Canadian Premier League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Atlético Ottawa wins, 1 draw, 3 Forge wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Sep 12, 2026Forge 3-0 Atlético OttawaCanadian Premier League
May 24, 2026Atlético Ottawa 2-1 ForgeCanadian Premier League
Apr 4, 2026Forge 2-0 Atlético OttawaCanadian Premier League
Oct 26, 2025Forge 1-2 Atlético OttawaCanadian Premier League
Sep 21, 2025Atlético Ottawa 1-1 ForgeCanadian Premier League
Aug 17, 2025Forge 2-0 Atlético OttawaCanadian Premier League

Last archived meeting: Forge vs Atlético Ottawa on Sep 12, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Atlético Ottawa score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Forge score 1.7 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Atlético Ottawa1.71.549/1510/15
Forge1.70.967/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Atlético Ottawa sit 3rd in Canadian Premier League (43 points from 26 matches) and Forge sit 2nd (54 points from 26 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Forge261664462054
3Atlético Ottawa261349404143

A question about Atlético Ottawa vs Forge?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Atlético Ottawa vs Forge?
The Footlab AI model makes Forge the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Atlético Ottawa.
Where and when is Atlético Ottawa vs Forge played?
Atlético Ottawa vs Forge is played on October 17, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at TD Place Stadium, in the Canadian Premier League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Atlético Ottawa and Forge

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