Forge vs Valour: result 2-1 and analysis
Canadian ChampionshipQuarter-finalsKick-off on September 15, 2021 at 11:30 PM (UTC)Hamilton Stadium, Hamilton
Full time
What was the result of Forge vs Valour?
Forge won 2-1 on September 15, 2021.
Goalscorers
- 33′D. ChoinièreForge
- 38′W. PaciusForge
- 60′A. RicciValour
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Forge have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Valour have 5, 1 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 11, 2021 | York United(home) | 0-2 | Canadian Premier League |
| Sep 8, 2021 | Atlético Ottawa(away) | 1-0 | Canadian Premier League |
| Sep 3, 2021 | HFX Wanderers FC(away) | 0-2 | Canadian Premier League |
| Aug 28, 2021 | York United(home) | 3-1 | Canadian Premier League |
| Aug 26, 2021 | Atlético Ottawa(home) | 4-0 | Canadian Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 8, 2021 | FC Edmonton(home) | 0-3 | Canadian Premier League |
| Sep 4, 2021 | Cavalry FC(home) | 0-1 | Canadian Premier League |
| Aug 29, 2021 | Pacific FC(away) | 2-3 | Canadian Premier League |
| Aug 25, 2021 | FC Edmonton(home) | 3-0 | Canadian Premier League |
| Aug 21, 2021 | Atlético Ottawa(away) | 3-2 | Canadian Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Forge win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Valour win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 11, 2021 | Valour 1-0 Forge | Canadian Premier League |
| Jun 27, 2021 | Forge 0-2 Valour | Canadian Premier League |
| Sep 5, 2020 | Forge 2-2 Valour | Canadian Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Forge score 1.4 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Valour score 1.1 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forge | 1.4 | 0.9 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Valour | 1.1 | 1.3 | 5 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy