Forge vs York United: result 3-1 and analysis
Canadian ChampionshipPreliminary RoundKick-off on May 1, 2024 at 11:00 PM (UTC)Hamilton Stadium, Hamilton
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What was the result of Forge vs York United?
Forge won 3-1 on May 1, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 8′J. HamiltonForge
- 17′D. ChoinièreForge
- 39′J. HamiltonForge
- 87′J. MartínezYork United
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Forge have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; York United have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 2024 | Valour(home) | 2-1 | Canadian Premier League |
| Apr 21, 2024 | York United(away) | 3-0 | Canadian Premier League |
| Apr 13, 2024 | Cavalry FC(home) | 2-1 | Canadian Premier League |
| Feb 14, 2024 | Guadalajara Chivas(away) | 1-2 | CONCACAF Champions League |
| Feb 8, 2024 | Guadalajara Chivas(home) | 1-3 | CONCACAF Champions League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2024 | Vancouver FC(home) | 3-0 | Canadian Premier League |
| Apr 21, 2024 | Forge(home) | 0-3 | Canadian Premier League |
| Apr 13, 2024 | Atlético Ottawa(away) | 1-2 | Canadian Premier League |
| Oct 12, 2023 | Pacific FC(away) | 0-1 | Canadian Premier League |
| Oct 7, 2023 | Vancouver FC(away) | 2-1 | Canadian Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Forge win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 York United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 21, 2024 | York United 0-3 Forge | Canadian Premier League |
| Aug 12, 2023 | Forge 3-3 York United | Canadian Premier League |
| Jul 9, 2023 | York United 0-4 Forge | Canadian Premier League |
| May 31, 2023 | Forge 1-2 York United | Canadian Premier League |
| May 5, 2023 | York United 0-1 Forge | Canadian Premier League |
| Oct 1, 2022 | Forge 2-0 York United | Canadian Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Forge score 1.6 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; York United score 1.3 and concede 1.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forge | 1.6 | 1.1 | 4 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| York United | 1.3 | 1.8 | 2 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy