Forge vs York United: result 3-1 and analysis
Canadian Premier LeagueChampionship - Semi-finalsKick-off on November 21, 2021 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Hamilton Stadium, Hamilton
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What was the result of Forge vs York United?
Forge won 3-1 on November 21, 2021.
Goalscorers
- 9′W. PaciusForge
- 38′M. PetrassoYork United
- 66′J. NavarroForge
- 73′N. VerhoevenForge (o.g.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Forge have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; York United have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 16, 2021 | Cavalry FC(home) | 0-1 | Canadian Premier League |
| Nov 13, 2021 | FC Edmonton(away) | 0-1 | Canadian Premier League |
| Nov 10, 2021 | York United(away) | 3-1 | Canadian Premier League |
| Nov 6, 2021 | York United(away) | 2-1 | Canadian Premier League |
| Nov 3, 2021 | Santos DE Guapiles(home) | 3-0 | CONCACAF League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2021 | Forge(home) | 1-3 | Canadian Premier League |
| Nov 6, 2021 | Forge(home) | 1-2 | Canadian Premier League |
| Oct 30, 2021 | Pacific FC(away) | 2-1 | Canadian Premier League |
| Oct 24, 2021 | Atlético Ottawa(away) | 1-1 | Canadian Premier League |
| Oct 17, 2021 | FC Edmonton(home) | 1-1 | Canadian Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Forge win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 York United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2021 | York United 1-3 Forge | Canadian Premier League |
| Nov 6, 2021 | York United 1-2 Forge | Canadian Premier League |
| Sep 11, 2021 | Forge 0-2 York United | Canadian Premier League |
| Aug 28, 2021 | Forge 3-1 York United | Canadian Premier League |
| Aug 4, 2021 | Forge 0-1 York United | Canadian Premier League |
| Jul 30, 2021 | York United 0-1 Forge | Canadian Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Forge score 1.6 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; York United score 1.4 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forge | 1.6 | 0.8 | 7 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| York United | 1.4 | 1.5 | 3 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Forge sit 1st in Canadian Premier League (41 points from 18 matches) and York United sit 7th (17 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Forge | 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 29 | 13 | 41 |
| 7 | York United | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 34 | 17 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy