Forli vs Calcio Certaldo: result 1-0 and analysis
Serie D - Girone DGroup D - 3Kick-off on September 24, 2023 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Tullo Morgagni, Forlì
Full time
What was the result of Forli vs Calcio Certaldo?
Forli won 1-0 on September 24, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 43′?Forli
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Forli have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Calcio Certaldo have 0, 0 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 17, 2023 | Sammaurese(home) | 0-3 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Sep 10, 2023 | Progresso(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Sep 3, 2023 | United Riccione(home) | 3-1 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Jul 30, 2023 | Cesena(home) | 1-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 7, 2023 | Crema(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 17, 2023 | Mezzolara(home) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Sep 10, 2023 | Sammaurese(away) | 0-4 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Aug 26, 2023 | Grosseto(away) | 1-4 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
How many goals should we expect?
Forli score 1.3 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Calcio Certaldo score 0.3 and concede 3.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forli | 1.3 | 1.8 | 2 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
| Calcio Certaldo | 0.3 | 3.3 | 0 | 1/3 | 2/3 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy