Guidonia Montecelio 1937 vs Forli: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone BGirone B - 10Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale, Guidonia Montecelio
The Footlab model makes Guidonia Montecelio 1937 the favourite at 43%, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Forli. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Guidonia Montecelio 1937 vs Forli?
A very open match: only 15 Elo points separate Guidonia Montecelio 1937 (1,797) and Forli (1,782).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Guidonia Montecelio 1937 have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Forli have 3, 7 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Gubbio(home) | 3-0 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Grosseto(away) | 3-2 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Athletic Carpi(home) | 2-3 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Ascoli(away) | 0-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Juventus U23(away) | 0-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Sambenedettese(away) | 2-2 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Juventus U23(away) | 1-1 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Cesena(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Tre Fiori(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Perugia(home) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Guidonia Montecelio 1937 win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Forli win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2026 | Guidonia Montecelio 1937 2-2 Forli | Serie C - Girone B |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Forli 1-0 Guidonia Montecelio 1937 | Serie C - Girone B |
Last archived meeting: Guidonia Montecelio 1937 vs Forli on Feb 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Guidonia Montecelio 1937 score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Forli score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guidonia Montecelio 1937 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 4 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Forli | 1.1 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Guidonia Montecelio 1937 sit 1st in Serie C - Girone B (3 points from 1 matches) and Forli sit 7th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guidonia Montecelio 1937 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Forli | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Guidonia Montecelio 1937 vs Forli?
- The Footlab model makes Guidonia Montecelio 1937 the favourite at 43%, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Forli.
- Where and when is Guidonia Montecelio 1937 vs Forli played?
- Guidonia Montecelio 1937 vs Forli is played on October 18, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale, in the Serie C - Girone B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.