Forli vs Pianese: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone BGirone B - 11Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Tullo Morgagni, Forlì
The Footlab model makes Pianese the favourite at 37%, against 31% for a draw and 32% for Forli. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Forli vs Pianese?
A very open match: only 37 Elo points separate Forli (1,782) and Pianese (1,820).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Forli have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Pianese have 3, 9 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Sambenedettese(away) | 2-2 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Juventus U23(away) | 1-1 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Cesena(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Tre Fiori(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Perugia(home) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Campobasso FC(away) | 0-2 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Athletic Carpi(away) | 2-3 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| May 13, 2026 | Lecco(away) | 1-1 | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs |
| May 10, 2026 | Lecco(home) | 1-1 | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs |
| May 6, 2026 | Juventus U23(away) | 2-0 | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Forli win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Pianese win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2026 | Forli 0-0 Pianese | Serie C - Girone B |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Pianese 3-2 Forli | Serie C - Girone B |
How many goals should we expect?
Forli score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Pianese score 1.0 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forli | 1.1 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Pianese | 1.0 | 1.0 | 5 | 8/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Forli sit 7th in Serie C - Girone B (1 points from 1 matches) and Pianese sit 18th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Forli | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 18 | Pianese | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Forli vs Pianese?
- The Footlab model makes Pianese the favourite at 37%, against 31% for a draw and 32% for Forli.
- Where and when is Forli vs Pianese played?
- Forli vs Pianese is played on October 25, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Tullo Morgagni, in the Serie C - Girone B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.