Perugia vs Pescara: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone BGirone B - 11Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Renato Curi, Perugia
The Footlab model makes Perugia the favourite at 36%, against 30% for a draw and 34% for Pescara. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Perugia vs Pescara?
A very open match: only 27 Elo points separate Perugia (1,771) and Pescara (1,798).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Perugia have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Pescara have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Ostia Mare(home) | 1-0 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Vis Pesaro(home) | 1-2 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Forli(away) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Campobasso FC(home) | 0-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Ternana(away) | 2-2 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Vis Pesaro(home) | 2-0 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Sambenedettese(home) | 0-1 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| May 8, 2026 | Spezia(home) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| May 1, 2026 | Padova(away) | 0-1 | Serie B |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Juve Stabia(home) | 1-1 | Serie B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Perugia win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Pescara win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2025 | Perugia 0-0 Pescara | Serie C - Girone B |
| Sep 23, 2024 | Pescara 0-0 Perugia | Serie C - Girone B |
| Jan 15, 2024 | Pescara 0-1 Perugia | Serie C - Girone B |
| Sep 10, 2023 | Perugia 1-1 Pescara | Serie C - Girone B |
| Aug 14, 2020 | Perugia 2-1 Pescara | Serie B |
| Aug 10, 2020 | Pescara 2-1 Perugia | Serie B |
How many goals should we expect?
Perugia score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Pescara score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Perugia | 1.1 | 1.1 | 3 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
| Pescara | 1.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Perugia sit 5th in Serie C - Girone B (3 points from 1 matches) and Pescara sit 2nd (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Pescara | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Perugia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Perugia vs Pescara?
- The Footlab model makes Perugia the favourite at 36%, against 30% for a draw and 34% for Pescara.
- Where and when is Perugia vs Pescara played?
- Perugia vs Pescara is played on October 25, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Renato Curi, in the Serie C - Girone B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.