Match

Pineto vs Gubbio: prediction and stats

Serie C - Girone BGirone B - 11Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Mimmo Pavone, Pineto

PinetoGubbio

The Footlab AI model makes Pineto the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 34% for Gubbio. The most likely score is 1-1. If Pineto wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Pineto vs Gubbio?

A very open match: only 15 Elo points separate Pineto (1,750) and Gubbio (1,765).

37%29%34%
Pineto winDrawGubbio win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Pineto vs Gubbio

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Pineto

3-4-2-1
  1. 9G. Vigliotti
  1. 21L. Lombardi
  2. 8G. Germinario
  3. 99A. Pellegrino
  4. 15D. Ferrante
  5. 4G. Nebuloso
  6. 7G. Guadagni
  1. 52D. Frare
  2. 3Simone Ienco
  3. 13G. Alessandretti
  1. 22A. Tonti

Gubbio

4-3-3
  1. 10A. La Mantia
  2. 7M. Spina
  3. 77A. Minta
  1. 8G. Rosaia
  2. 47G. Di Noia
  3. 14A. Cardascio
  1. 27L. Podda
  2. 6O. Barry
  3. 4L. Baroncelli
  4. 34F. Zallu
  1. 1N. Bagnolini

Computed on October 13, 2026 at 08:44 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pineto have 2 wins, 6 draws and 7 defeats; Gubbio have 6, 1 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Pineto
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 4, 2026Guidonia Montecelio 1937(away)0-1Serie C - Girone B
Sep 26, 2026Grosseto(home)0-4Serie C - Girone B
Sep 20, 2026Campobasso FC(away)2-2Serie C - Girone B
Sep 16, 2026Forli(home)1-1Serie C - Girone B
Sep 12, 2026Sambenedettese(home)2-1Serie C - Girone B
Gubbio
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Spezia(away)0-2Serie C - Girone B
Oct 3, 2026Perugia(home)1-3Serie C - Girone B
Sep 27, 2026Ravenna(away)0-2Serie C - Girone B
Sep 20, 2026Ostia Mare(home)0-2Serie C - Girone B
Sep 16, 2026Pescara(away)1-1Serie C - Girone B

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Pineto wins, 0 draws, 4 Gubbio wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 14, 2026Pineto 1-2 GubbioCoppa Italia Serie C
May 3, 2026Pineto 2-1 GubbioSerie C - Promotion - Play-offs
Apr 26, 2026Gubbio 2-0 PinetoSerie C - Girone B
Dec 20, 2025Pineto 1-0 GubbioSerie C - Girone B
Feb 14, 2025Gubbio 2-1 PinetoSerie C - Girone B
Oct 6, 2024Pineto 1-2 GubbioSerie C - Girone B

Last archived meeting: Pineto vs Gubbio on Aug 14, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Pineto score 0.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Gubbio score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Pineto0.91.7210/158/15
Gubbio1.51.537/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Pineto sit 17th in Serie C - Girone B (7 points from 8 matches) and Gubbio sit 18th (7 points from 9 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
17Pineto81436117
18Gubbio921610187

A question about Pineto vs Gubbio?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Pineto vs Gubbio?
The Footlab AI model makes Pineto the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 34% for Gubbio.
Where and when is Pineto vs Gubbio played?
Pineto vs Gubbio is played on October 25, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Mimmo Pavone, in the Serie C - Girone B.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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