Pineto vs Gubbio: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone BGirone B - 11Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Mimmo Pavone, Pineto
The Footlab model makes Pineto the favourite at 38%, against 31% for a draw and 31% for Gubbio. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pineto vs Gubbio?
A very open match: only 3 Elo points separate Pineto (1,779) and Gubbio (1,781).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pineto have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Gubbio have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Latina(away) | 0-0 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Gubbio(home) | 1-2 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Atletico Ascoli(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Scafatese(home) | 1-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 6, 2026 | Campobasso FC(away) | 1-1 | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Guidonia Montecelio 1937(away) | 0-3 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Pineto(away) | 2-1 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Sporting Trestina(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Fiorentina(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 3, 2026 | Pineto(away) | 1-2 | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Pineto win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Gubbio win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Pineto 1-2 Gubbio | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| May 3, 2026 | Pineto 2-1 Gubbio | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Gubbio 2-0 Pineto | Serie C - Girone B |
| Dec 20, 2025 | Pineto 1-0 Gubbio | Serie C - Girone B |
| Feb 14, 2025 | Gubbio 2-1 Pineto | Serie C - Girone B |
| Oct 6, 2024 | Pineto 1-2 Gubbio | Serie C - Girone B |
How many goals should we expect?
Pineto score 0.9 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Gubbio score 1.0 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 37% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pineto | 0.9 | 1.4 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Gubbio | 1.0 | 1.3 | 5 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pineto sit 11th in Serie C - Girone B (1 points from 1 matches) and Gubbio sit 20th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Pineto | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 20 | Gubbio | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pineto vs Gubbio?
- The Footlab model makes Pineto the favourite at 38%, against 31% for a draw and 31% for Gubbio.
- Where and when is Pineto vs Gubbio played?
- Pineto vs Gubbio is played on October 25, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Mimmo Pavone, in the Serie C - Girone B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 37% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.