Formartine United vs Buckie Thistle: prediction and stats
Football League - Highland LeagueHighland League - 16Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)North Lodge Park, Pitmedden
The Footlab model makes Formartine United the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Buckie Thistle. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Formartine United vs Buckie Thistle?
A very open match: only 14 Elo points separate Formartine United (1,672) and Buckie Thistle (1,658).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Formartine United have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Buckie Thistle have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Forfar Athletic(away) | 0-1 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Keith(home) | 4-1 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Rothes(away) | 4-2 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Invergordon(away) | 2-1 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Dundee II(home) | 4-1 | Challenge Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Invergordon(away) | 6-0 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Turriff United(away) | 2-1 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Brora Rangers(home) | 2-2 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Strathspey Thistle(away) | 2-0 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Banks O' Dee(home) | 7-2 | Football League - Highland League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Formartine United win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Buckie Thistle win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2026 | Buckie Thistle 1-0 Formartine United | Football League - Highland League |
| Oct 24, 2025 | Formartine United 0-2 Buckie Thistle | FA Cup |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Formartine United 3-1 Buckie Thistle | Football League - Highland League |
| Mar 22, 2025 | Buckie Thistle 1-1 Formartine United | Football League - Highland League |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Formartine United 1-0 Buckie Thistle | Football League - Highland League |
| Mar 20, 2024 | Buckie Thistle 2-0 Formartine United | Football League - Highland League |
Last archived meeting: Buckie Thistle vs Formartine United on Mar 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Formartine United score 1.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Buckie Thistle score 2.4 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Formartine United | 1.8 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Buckie Thistle | 2.4 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Formartine United sit 3rd in Football League - Highland League (71 points from 34 matches) and Buckie Thistle sit 8th (53 points from 34 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Formartine United | 34 | 20 | 11 | 3 | 65 | 27 | 71 |
| 8 | Buckie Thistle | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 62 | 47 | 53 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Formartine United vs Buckie Thistle?
- The Footlab model makes Formartine United the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Buckie Thistle.
- Where and when is Formartine United vs Buckie Thistle played?
- Formartine United vs Buckie Thistle is played on October 31, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at North Lodge Park, in the Football League - Highland League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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