Formartine United vs Strathspey Thistle: prediction and stats
Football League - Highland LeagueHighland League - 18Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)North Lodge Park, Pitmedden
The Footlab model makes Formartine United the favourite at 71%, against 17% for a draw and 12% for Strathspey Thistle. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Formartine United vs Strathspey Thistle?
Formartine United is a heavy favourite: 1,669 Elo points against 1,349 — a 320-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Formartine United have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Strathspey Thistle have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Keith(home) | 4-1 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Rothes(away) | 4-2 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Invergordon(away) | 2-1 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Dundee II(home) | 4-1 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Huntly(home) | 2-2 | Football League - Highland League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Turriff United(away) | 2-1 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Brora Rangers(home) | 1-2 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Inverurie Loco Works(home) | 1-3 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Banks O' Dee(away) | 1-1 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Buckie Thistle(home) | 0-2 | Football League - Highland League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 6 Formartine United win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Strathspey Thistle win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 25, 2026 | Strathspey Thistle 1-2 Formartine United | Football League - Highland League |
| Jan 17, 2026 | Formartine United 4-0 Strathspey Thistle | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Strathspey Thistle 1-2 Formartine United | Football League - Highland League |
| Feb 15, 2025 | Formartine United 3-2 Strathspey Thistle | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 24, 2024 | Strathspey Thistle 0-4 Formartine United | Football League - Highland League |
| Dec 16, 2023 | Strathspey Thistle 0-1 Formartine United | Football League - Highland League |
Last archived meeting: Strathspey Thistle vs Formartine United on Jul 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Formartine United score 1.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Strathspey Thistle score 1.0 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Formartine United | 1.8 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Strathspey Thistle | 1.0 | 1.6 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Formartine United sit 3rd in Football League - Highland League (71 points from 34 matches) and Strathspey Thistle sit 12th (41 points from 34 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Formartine United | 34 | 20 | 11 | 3 | 65 | 27 | 71 |
| 12 | Strathspey Thistle | 34 | 13 | 2 | 19 | 49 | 83 | 41 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Formartine United vs Strathspey Thistle?
- The Footlab model makes Formartine United the favourite at 71%, against 17% for a draw and 12% for Strathspey Thistle.
- Where and when is Formartine United vs Strathspey Thistle played?
- Formartine United vs Strathspey Thistle is played on November 21, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at North Lodge Park, in the Football League - Highland League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.