Rothes vs Keith: prediction and stats
Football League - Highland LeagueHighland League - 16Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)MacKessack Park, Rothes
The Footlab model makes Keith the favourite at 83%, against 11% for a draw and 7% for Rothes. The most likely score is 1-3.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rothes vs Keith?
Keith is a heavy favourite: 1,476 Elo points against 1,109 — a 367-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rothes have 1 wins, 0 draws and 14 defeats; Keith have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Wick Academy(home) | 3-2 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Formartine United(home) | 2-4 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Deveronvale(away) | 0-3 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Lossiemouth(away) | 1-4 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Fraserburgh(home) | 0-7 | Football League - Highland League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Formartine United(away) | 1-4 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Clachnacuddin(away) | 1-1 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lossiemouth(home) | 2-2 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Fraserburgh(away) | 0-1 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Nairn County(home) | 1-1 | Football League - Highland League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Rothes win(s), 1 draw(s), 5 Keith win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | Rothes 1-5 Keith | Football League - Highland League |
| Nov 15, 2025 | Keith 2-1 Rothes | Football League - Highland League |
| Apr 2, 2025 | Keith 1-0 Rothes | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 10, 2024 | Rothes 0-1 Keith | Football League - Highland League |
| Feb 24, 2024 | Keith 2-1 Rothes | Football League - Highland League |
| Feb 17, 2024 | Rothes 0-0 Keith | Football League - Highland League |
How many goals should we expect?
Rothes score 1.0 and concede 4.0 goals per match over their last 15; Keith score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 83% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rothes | 1.0 | 4.0 | 0 | 9/15 | 15/15 |
| Keith | 1.7 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Rothes sit 18th in Football League - Highland League (7 points from 34 matches) and Keith sit 6th (58 points from 34 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Keith | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 52 | 47 | 58 |
| 18 | Rothes | 34 | 1 | 4 | 29 | 33 | 134 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rothes vs Keith?
- The Footlab model makes Keith the favourite at 83%, against 11% for a draw and 7% for Rothes.
- Where and when is Rothes vs Keith played?
- Rothes vs Keith is played on October 31, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at MacKessack Park, in the Football League - Highland League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 83% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 31, 2026Brora RangersvsLossiemouth
- Oct 31, 2026Formartine UnitedvsBuckie Thistle
- Oct 31, 2026ClachnacuddinvsStrathspey Thistle
- Oct 31, 2026DeveronvalevsBanks O' Dee
- Oct 31, 2026Inverurie Loco WorksvsWick Academy
- Oct 31, 2026Turriff UnitedvsFraserburgh
- Oct 31, 2026HuntlyvsNairn County
- Oct 31, 2026InvergordonvsForres Mechanics