Rothes vs Nairn County: prediction and stats
Football League - Highland LeagueHighland League - 18Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)MacKessack Park, Rothes
The Footlab model makes Nairn County the favourite at 73%, against 15% for a draw and 12% for Rothes. The most likely score is 1-3.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rothes vs Nairn County?
Nairn County is a heavy favourite: 1,434 Elo points against 1,109 — a 324-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rothes have 1 wins, 0 draws and 14 defeats; Nairn County have 2, 3 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Wick Academy(home) | 3-2 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Formartine United(home) | 2-4 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Deveronvale(away) | 0-3 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Lossiemouth(away) | 1-4 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Fraserburgh(home) | 0-7 | Football League - Highland League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Clachnacuddin(away) | 1-6 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Lossiemouth(home) | 1-1 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Fraserburgh(away) | 0-2 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Inverurie Loco Works(away) | 1-3 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Forres Mechanics(home) | 1-2 | Football League - Highland League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Rothes win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 Nairn County win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 25, 2026 | Nairn County 3-0 Rothes | Football League - Highland League |
| Feb 21, 2026 | Rothes 0-4 Nairn County | Football League - Highland League |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Nairn County 4-0 Rothes | Football League - Highland League |
| Dec 28, 2024 | Rothes 1-4 Nairn County | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 16, 2024 | Nairn County 2-3 Rothes | Football League - Highland League |
| Dec 30, 2023 | Rothes 0-3 Nairn County | Football League - Highland League |
Last archived meeting: Nairn County vs Rothes on Jul 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Rothes score 1.0 and concede 4.0 goals per match over their last 15; Nairn County score 1.0 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 81% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rothes | 1.0 | 4.0 | 0 | 9/15 | 15/15 |
| Nairn County | 1.0 | 2.3 | 2 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Rothes sit 18th in Football League - Highland League (7 points from 34 matches) and Nairn County sit 9th (49 points from 34 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Nairn County | 34 | 15 | 4 | 15 | 56 | 52 | 49 |
| 18 | Rothes | 34 | 1 | 4 | 29 | 33 | 134 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rothes vs Nairn County?
- The Footlab model makes Nairn County the favourite at 73%, against 15% for a draw and 12% for Rothes.
- Where and when is Rothes vs Nairn County played?
- Rothes vs Nairn County is played on November 21, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at MacKessack Park, in the Football League - Highland League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 81% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 21, 2026Formartine UnitedvsStrathspey Thistle
- Nov 21, 2026DeveronvalevsBrora Rangers
- Nov 21, 2026Inverurie Loco WorksvsBuckie Thistle
- Nov 21, 2026KeithvsForres Mechanics
- Nov 21, 2026Turriff UnitedvsClachnacuddin
- Nov 21, 2026Wick AcademyvsBanks O' Dee
- Nov 21, 2026HuntlyvsLossiemouth
- Nov 21, 2026InvergordonvsFraserburgh