Keith vs Forres Mechanics: prediction and stats
Football League - Highland LeagueHighland League - 18Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Kynoch Park, Keith
The Footlab AI model makes Keith the favourite at 52%, against 23% for a draw and 25% for Forres Mechanics. The most likely score is 1-1. If Keith wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Keith vs Forres Mechanics?
On Elo ratings, Keith has 1,482 points and Forres Mechanics 1,451.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Keith vs Forres Mechanics
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Keith
Not enough data to predict the Keith lineup.
Forres Mechanics
Not enough data to predict the Forres Mechanics lineup.
Computed on October 8, 2026 at 08:13 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Keith have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Forres Mechanics have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 7, 2026 | Turriff United(home) | 1-0 | Football League - Highland League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Stonehaven(home) | 2-1 | FA Cup |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Brora Rangers(away) | 0-5 | Football League - Highland League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Strathspey Thistle(home) | 2-3 | Football League - Highland League |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Banks O' Dee(away) | 1-4 | Football League - Highland League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 7, 2026 | Brora Rangers(home) | 2-5 | Football League - Highland League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Stirling University(home) | 0-1 | FA Cup |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Strathspey Thistle(away) | 1-0 | Football League - Highland League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Banks O' Dee(home) | 3-0 | Football League - Highland League |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Buckie Thistle(home) | 2-1 | Football League - Highland League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Keith wins, 2 draws, 2 Forres Mechanics wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 25, 2026 | Forres Mechanics 5-1 Keith | Football League - Highland League |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Keith 1-0 Forres Mechanics | Football League - Highland League |
| Sep 10, 2025 | Forres Mechanics 2-2 Keith | Football League - Highland League |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Forres Mechanics 4-1 Keith | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 28, 2024 | Keith 4-0 Forres Mechanics | Football League - Highland League |
| Feb 21, 2024 | Keith 1-1 Forres Mechanics | Football League - Highland League |
Last archived meeting: Forres Mechanics vs Keith on Jul 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Keith score 1.5 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Forres Mechanics score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keith | 1.5 | 2.0 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Forres Mechanics | 1.7 | 1.5 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Keith sit 6th in Football League - Highland League (58 points from 34 matches) and Forres Mechanics sit 13th (40 points from 34 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Keith | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 52 | 47 | 58 |
| 13 | Forres Mechanics | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 52 | 67 | 40 |
A question about Keith vs Forres Mechanics?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Keith vs Forres Mechanics?
- The Footlab AI model makes Keith the favourite at 52%, against 23% for a draw and 25% for Forres Mechanics.
- Where and when is Keith vs Forres Mechanics played?
- Keith vs Forres Mechanics is played on November 21, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Kynoch Park, in the Football League - Highland League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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