Keith vs Forres Mechanics: prediction and stats
Football League - Highland LeagueHighland League - 18Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Kynoch Park, Keith
The Footlab model makes Keith the favourite at 51%, against 23% for a draw and 26% for Forres Mechanics. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Keith vs Forres Mechanics?
A very open match: only 16 Elo points separate Keith (1,476) and Forres Mechanics (1,460).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Keith have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Forres Mechanics have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Formartine United(away) | 1-4 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Clachnacuddin(away) | 1-1 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lossiemouth(home) | 2-2 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Fraserburgh(away) | 0-1 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Nairn County(home) | 1-1 | Football League - Highland League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Deveronvale(away) | 1-1 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Clachnacuddin(home) | 2-1 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Lossiemouth(away) | 1-2 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Fraserburgh(home) | 0-2 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Nairn County(away) | 2-1 | Football League - Highland League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Keith win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Forres Mechanics win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 25, 2026 | Forres Mechanics 5-1 Keith | Football League - Highland League |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Keith 1-0 Forres Mechanics | Football League - Highland League |
| Sep 10, 2025 | Forres Mechanics 2-2 Keith | Football League - Highland League |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Forres Mechanics 4-1 Keith | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 28, 2024 | Keith 4-0 Forres Mechanics | Football League - Highland League |
| Feb 21, 2024 | Keith 1-1 Forres Mechanics | Football League - Highland League |
Last archived meeting: Forres Mechanics vs Keith on Jul 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Keith score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Forres Mechanics score 1.6 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keith | 1.7 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Forres Mechanics | 1.6 | 1.6 | 0 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Keith sit 6th in Football League - Highland League (58 points from 34 matches) and Forres Mechanics sit 13th (40 points from 34 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Keith | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 52 | 47 | 58 |
| 13 | Forres Mechanics | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 52 | 67 | 40 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Keith vs Forres Mechanics?
- The Footlab model makes Keith the favourite at 51%, against 23% for a draw and 26% for Forres Mechanics.
- Where and when is Keith vs Forres Mechanics played?
- Keith vs Forres Mechanics is played on November 21, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Kynoch Park, in the Football League - Highland League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 21, 2026Formartine UnitedvsStrathspey Thistle
- Nov 21, 2026DeveronvalevsBrora Rangers
- Nov 21, 2026Inverurie Loco WorksvsBuckie Thistle
- Nov 21, 2026RothesvsNairn County
- Nov 21, 2026Turriff UnitedvsClachnacuddin
- Nov 21, 2026Wick AcademyvsBanks O' Dee
- Nov 21, 2026HuntlyvsLossiemouth
- Nov 21, 2026InvergordonvsFraserburgh