Fortaleza EC vs Iguatu: prediction and stats
Cearense - 1Regular Season - 5Kick-off on January 21, 2027 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo, Fortaleza, Ceará
The Footlab AI model makes Fortaleza EC the favourite at 57%, against 25% for a draw and 18% for Iguatu. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 2,920 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fortaleza EC vs Iguatu?
Fortaleza EC starts as the favourite with a 183-point Elo edge (1,822 vs 1,639).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Fortaleza EC vs Iguatu
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Fortaleza EC
4-3-3- 32Luiz Fernando
- 21J. Cantillo
- 16Pedro Henrique
- 5Pierre
- 75Rodriguinho
- 88Lucas Sasha
- 6T. Cardona
- 22Maílton
- 3Lucas Gazal
- 23Neris
- 1João Ricardo
Iguatu
Not enough data to predict the Iguatu lineup.
Computed on October 21, 2026 at 04:40 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fortaleza EC have 7 wins, 8 draws and 0 defeats; Iguatu have 7, 8 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Sport Recife(away) | 2-0 | Serie B |
| Oct 12, 2026 | CRB(home) | 2-2 | Serie B |
| Oct 7, 2026 | America Mineiro(away) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Nautico Recife(home) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Athletic Club(home) | 2-2 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 25, 2026 | Nacional AM(home) | 1-1 | Serie D |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Nacional AM(away) | 1-1 | Serie D |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Tuna Luso(home) | 1-1 | Serie D |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Tuna Luso(away) | 2-1 | Serie D |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Sampaio Correa(away) | 1-0 | Serie D |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Fortaleza EC wins, 1 draw, 0 Iguatu wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | Fortaleza EC 1-1 Iguatu | Cearense - 1 |
| Jan 31, 2024 | Fortaleza EC 3-1 Iguatu | Cearense - 1 |
| Jan 14, 2023 | Fortaleza EC 2-0 Iguatu | Cearense - 1 |
Last archived meeting: Fortaleza EC vs Iguatu on Jan 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Fortaleza EC score 1.4 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Iguatu score 1.5 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fortaleza EC | 1.4 | 0.8 | 6 | 9/15 | 4/15 |
| Iguatu | 1.5 | 0.8 | 5 | 10/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fortaleza EC sit 1st in Cearense - 1 (10 points from 4 matches) and Iguatu sit 3rd (6 points from 4 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2026 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fortaleza EC | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 10 |
| 3 | Iguatu | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
A question about Fortaleza EC vs Iguatu?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fortaleza EC vs Iguatu?
- The Footlab AI model makes Fortaleza EC the favourite at 57%, against 25% for a draw and 18% for Iguatu.
- Where and when is Fortaleza EC vs Iguatu played?
- Fortaleza EC vs Iguatu is played on January 21, 2027 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo, in the Cearense - 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.