Maracanã vs Ferroviario: prediction and stats
Cearense - 1Regular Season - 5Kick-off on January 20, 2027 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Almir Dutra, Maracanaú, Ceará
The Footlab AI model makes Maracanã the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for Ferroviario. The most likely score is 1-1. If Maracanã wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.7% of the 3,756 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 28, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Maracanã vs Ferroviario?
A very open match: only 47 Elo points separate Maracanã (1,534) and Ferroviario (1,581).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Maracanã vs Ferroviario
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Maracanã
Not enough data to predict the Maracanã lineup.
Ferroviario
Not enough data to predict the Ferroviario lineup.
Computed on October 28, 2026 at 08:54 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Maracanã have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Ferroviario have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 27, 2026 | Imperatriz(home) | 0-0 | Serie D |
| Jun 20, 2026 | Imperatriz(away) | 1-1 | Serie D |
| Jun 7, 2026 | IAPE(home) | 2-0 | Serie D |
| May 30, 2026 | Moto Club(away) | 2-1 | Serie D |
| May 24, 2026 | Parnahyba(away) | 1-0 | Serie D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 26, 2026 | Goiatuba EC(home) | 1-2 | Serie D |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Goiatuba EC(away) | 0-3 | Serie D |
| Jun 28, 2026 | Central SC(home) | 2-0 | Serie D |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Central SC(away) | 1-1 | Serie D |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Fluminense PI(home) | 1-0 | Serie D |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Maracanã win, 2 draws, 3 Ferroviario wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2026 | Maracanã 0-1 Ferroviario | Cearense - 1 |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Maracanã 2-1 Ferroviario | Cearense - 1 |
| Feb 26, 2025 | Maracanã 1-1 Ferroviario | Copa Do Brasil |
| Feb 2, 2025 | Ferroviario 1-0 Maracanã | Cearense - 1 |
| Feb 17, 2024 | Ferroviario 0-0 Maracanã | Cearense - 1 |
| Feb 25, 2023 | Maracanã 1-3 Ferroviario | Cearense - 1 |
Last archived meeting: Maracanã vs Ferroviario on Jan 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Maracanã score 1.1 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Ferroviario score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maracanã | 1.1 | 0.7 | 7 | 6/15 | 3/15 |
| Ferroviario | 1.3 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Maracanã sit 2nd in Cearense - 1 (4 points from 3 matches) and Ferroviario sit 2nd (8 points from 4 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2026 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | MaracanãCearense: Relegation Group | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
| 2 | FerroviarioCearense: Regular season | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
A question about Maracanã vs Ferroviario?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Maracanã vs Ferroviario?
- The Footlab AI model makes Maracanã the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for Ferroviario.
- Where and when is Maracanã vs Ferroviario played?
- Maracanã vs Ferroviario is played on January 20, 2027 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Almir Dutra, in the Cearense - 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.