Ceara vs Maranguape: prediction and stats
Cearense - 1Regular Season - 5Kick-off on January 20, 2027 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo, Fortaleza, Ceará
The Footlab AI model makes Ceara the favourite at 81%, against 14% for a draw and 5% for Maranguape. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 2,919 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ceara vs Maranguape?
Ceara starts as the favourite with a 217-point Elo edge (1,755 vs 1,538).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ceara vs Maranguape
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ceara
4-2-3-1- 73Saulo Mineiro
- 81Joao Gabriel
- 25Vinicius Zanocelo
- 8Matheus Araújo
- 60Enzo
- 29Vina
- 18Júlio
- 12Sanchez
- 4Luiz Otávio
- 13Luiz Otávio
- 1Richard
Maranguape
4-3-3- 9Hulk Felipe
- 19Breno Araujo
- 11Pedrinho
- 7Clodo
- 8Lessinho
- 10Luis Guilherme
- 3Mael
- 2Rian Kelvi
- 16Nailton
- 23Germano
- 12Otavio de Oliveira Duarte
Computed on October 21, 2026 at 03:49 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ceara have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Maranguape have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Juventude(home) | 2-2 | Serie B |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Botafogo SP(away) | 0-1 | Serie B |
| Oct 8, 2026 | Criciuma(home) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Avai(away) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Operario-PR(away) | 2-2 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2026 | Quixada(away) | 3-1 | Cearense - 1 |
| Feb 3, 2026 | Tirol/CEFAT(home) | 3-2 | Cearense - 1 |
| Jan 28, 2026 | Maracanã(home) | 1-1 | Cearense - 1 |
| Jan 17, 2026 | Floresta(home) | 0-3 | Cearense - 1 |
| Jan 15, 2026 | Ceara(away) | 0-1 | Cearense - 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 1 Ceara win, 0 draws, 0 Maranguape wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2026 | Ceara 1-0 Maranguape | Cearense - 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Ceara score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Maranguape score 1.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 38% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ceara | 1.4 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Maranguape | 1.5 | 1.1 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ceara sit 1st in Cearense - 1 (10 points from 4 matches) and Maranguape sit 1st (7 points from 3 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2026 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CearaCearense: Regular season | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 10 |
| 1 | MaranguapeCearense: Relegation Group | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 7 |
A question about Ceara vs Maranguape?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ceara vs Maranguape?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ceara the favourite at 81%, against 14% for a draw and 5% for Maranguape.
- Where and when is Ceara vs Maranguape played?
- Ceara vs Maranguape is played on January 20, 2027 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo, in the Cearense - 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.