Icasa vs Fortaleza EC: prediction and stats
Cearense - 1Regular Season - 4Kick-off on January 17, 2027 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Mauro Sampaio, Juazeiro do Norte, Ceará
The Footlab AI model makes Fortaleza EC the favourite at 56%, against 25% for a draw and 19% for Icasa. The most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,905 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Icasa vs Fortaleza EC?
Fortaleza EC starts as the favourite with a 281-point Elo edge (1,851 vs 1,570).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Icasa vs Fortaleza EC
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Icasa
4-3-3- DDenis Ribeiro
- JJairinho
- LLeandro Cearense
- CCésar Sampaio
- MMarcos Vinícius
- GGuidio
- LLéo Alves
- BBull
- RRoni
- MMarcos Vinicius
- FFlaysmar
Fortaleza EC
4-3-3- 32Luiz Fernando
- 21J. Cantillo
- 16Pedro Henrique
- 5Pierre
- 75Rodriguinho
- 88Lucas Sasha
- 6T. Cardona
- 22Maílton
- 3Lucas Gazal
- 23Neris
- 1João Ricardo
Computed on October 21, 2026 at 03:48 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Icasa have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Fortaleza EC have 7, 8 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 14, 2026 | Itapipoca(home) | 1-1 | Cearense - 2 |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Itapipoca(away) | 0-0 | Cearense - 2 |
| May 30, 2026 | Crateús(home) | 3-0 | Cearense - 2 |
| May 24, 2026 | Crateús(away) | 0-0 | Cearense - 2 |
| May 13, 2026 | Guarani De Juazeiro(home) | 2-1 | Cearense - 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Sport Recife(away) | 2-0 | Serie B |
| Oct 12, 2026 | CRB(home) | 2-2 | Serie B |
| Oct 7, 2026 | America Mineiro(away) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Nautico Recife(home) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Athletic Club(home) | 2-2 | Serie B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 0 Icasa wins, 0 draws, 5 Fortaleza EC wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2021 | Fortaleza EC 6-0 Icasa | Cearense - 1 |
| Aug 1, 2015 | Fortaleza EC 2-0 Icasa | Serie C |
| May 17, 2015 | Icasa 0-2 Fortaleza EC | Serie C |
| Oct 21, 2012 | Fortaleza EC 1-0 Icasa | Serie C |
| Aug 19, 2012 | Icasa 0-2 Fortaleza EC | Serie C |
Last archived meeting: Fortaleza EC vs Icasa on May 17, 2021
How many goals should we expect?
Icasa score 1.7 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Fortaleza EC score 1.4 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Icasa | 1.7 | 0.7 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Fortaleza EC | 1.4 | 0.8 | 6 | 9/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2026 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fortaleza EC | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 10 |
A question about Icasa vs Fortaleza EC?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Icasa vs Fortaleza EC?
- The Footlab AI model makes Fortaleza EC the favourite at 56%, against 25% for a draw and 19% for Icasa.
- Where and when is Icasa vs Fortaleza EC played?
- Icasa vs Fortaleza EC is played on January 17, 2027 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Mauro Sampaio, in the Cearense - 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.