Ferroviario vs Icasa: prediction and stats
Cearense - 1Regular Season - 3Kick-off on January 13, 2027 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal Presidente Getúlio Vargas, Fortaleza, Ceará
The Footlab AI model makes Ferroviario the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Icasa. The most likely score is 1-1. If Ferroviario wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,904 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ferroviario vs Icasa?
A very open match: only 62 Elo points separate Ferroviario (1,632) and Icasa (1,570).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ferroviario vs Icasa
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ferroviario
Not enough data to predict the Ferroviario lineup.
Icasa
4-3-3- DDenis Ribeiro
- JJairinho
- LLeandro Cearense
- CCésar Sampaio
- MMarcos Vinícius
- GGuidio
- LLéo Alves
- BBull
- RRoni
- MMarcos Vinicius
- FFlaysmar
Computed on October 21, 2026 at 03:48 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ferroviario have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Icasa have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 26, 2026 | Goiatuba EC(home) | 1-2 | Serie D |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Goiatuba EC(away) | 0-3 | Serie D |
| Jun 28, 2026 | Central SC(home) | 2-0 | Serie D |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Central SC(away) | 1-1 | Serie D |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Fluminense PI(home) | 1-0 | Serie D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 14, 2026 | Itapipoca(home) | 1-1 | Cearense - 2 |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Itapipoca(away) | 0-0 | Cearense - 2 |
| May 30, 2026 | Crateús(home) | 3-0 | Cearense - 2 |
| May 24, 2026 | Crateús(away) | 0-0 | Cearense - 2 |
| May 13, 2026 | Guarani De Juazeiro(home) | 2-1 | Cearense - 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Ferroviario wins, 1 draw, 0 Icasa wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2022 | Icasa 1-1 Ferroviario | Cearense - 1 |
| Jan 21, 2022 | Ferroviario 2-0 Icasa | Cearense - 1 |
| May 6, 2021 | Ferroviario 3-0 Icasa | Cearense - 1 |
| Mar 1, 2021 | Icasa 0-1 Ferroviario | Cearense - 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Ferroviario score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Icasa score 1.7 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ferroviario | 1.3 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Icasa | 1.7 | 0.7 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2026 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Ferroviario | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
A question about Ferroviario vs Icasa?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ferroviario vs Icasa?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ferroviario the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Icasa.
- Where and when is Ferroviario vs Icasa played?
- Ferroviario vs Icasa is played on January 13, 2027 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Municipal Presidente Getúlio Vargas, in the Cearense - 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.