Fortaleza EC vs Sergipe: result 1-0 and analysis
Copa do NordesteGroup Stage - 5Kick-off on January 26, 2023 at 11:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal Presidente Getúlio Vargas, Fortaleza, Ceará
Full time
What was the result of Fortaleza EC vs Sergipe?
Fortaleza EC won 1-0 on January 26, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 31′Thiago GalhardoFortaleza EC
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fortaleza EC have 10 wins, 4 draws and 1 defeats; Sergipe have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2023 | Campinense(home) | 2-0 | Copa do Nordeste |
| Jan 18, 2023 | Caucaia(home) | 1-0 | Cearense - 1 |
| Jan 14, 2023 | Iguatu(home) | 2-0 | Cearense - 1 |
| Nov 13, 2022 | Santos(away) | 2-0 | Serie A |
| Nov 9, 2022 | RB Bragantino(home) | 6-0 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2023 | CRB(away) | 0-1 | Copa do Nordeste |
| Jan 18, 2023 | Estanciano(away) | 1-0 | Sergipano |
| Jan 14, 2023 | Dorense(home) | 1-0 | Sergipano |
| Jul 16, 2022 | Jacuipense(home) | 2-0 | Serie D |
| Jul 9, 2022 | Juazeirense(away) | 0-1 | Serie D |
How many goals should we expect?
Fortaleza EC score 1.8 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Sergipe score 0.9 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fortaleza EC | 1.8 | 0.7 | 8 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Sergipe | 0.9 | 0.7 | 6 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Fortaleza EC | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 10 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy