Match

Fortuna Düsseldorf II vs SC St. Tönis: prediction and stats

Oberliga - NiederrheinNiederrhein - 11Kick-off on October 23, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC)Paul-Janes-Stadion, Düsseldorf

Fortuna Düsseldorf IISC St. Tönis

The Footlab model makes Fortuna Düsseldorf II the favourite at 48%, against 22% for a draw and 30% for SC St. Tönis. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Fortuna Düsseldorf II vs SC St. Tönis?

A very open match: only 41 Elo points separate Fortuna Düsseldorf II (1,873) and SC St. Tönis (1,833).

Fortuna Düsseldorf II win48 %
Draw22 %
SC St. Tönis win30 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fortuna Düsseldorf II have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; SC St. Tönis have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Fortuna Düsseldorf II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 14, 2026Meerbusch(home)3-0Oberliga - Niederrhein
Jul 31, 2026TSV Steinbach(home)2-4Friendlies Clubs
Jul 19, 2026Homberg(away)3-3Friendlies Clubs
Jul 15, 2026SC St. Tönis(away)4-1Friendlies Clubs
May 16, 2026Bochum II(away)2-2Regionalliga - West
SC St. Tönis
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Eintracht Frankfurt(home)0-11DFB Pokal
Aug 16, 2026Solingen-Wald(home)3-2Oberliga - Niederrhein
Jul 15, 2026Fortuna Düsseldorf II(home)1-4Friendlies Clubs
Jul 8, 2026Fortuna Düsseldorf(home)0-5Friendlies Clubs
Jun 7, 2026Hilden(home)1-1Oberliga - Niederrhein

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Fortuna Düsseldorf II win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 SC St. Tönis win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jul 15, 2026SC St. Tönis 1-4 Fortuna Düsseldorf IIFriendlies Clubs

Last archived meeting: SC St. Tönis vs Fortuna Düsseldorf II on Jul 15, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Fortuna Düsseldorf II score 1.8 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; SC St. Tönis score 1.9 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Fortuna Düsseldorf II1.81.458/1510/15
SC St. Tönis1.92.549/1512/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Fortuna Düsseldorf II sit 7th in Oberliga - Niederrhein (3 points from 1 matches) and SC St. Tönis sit 9th (3 points from 1 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
7Fortuna Düsseldorf II1100303
9SC St. Tönis1100323

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Fortuna Düsseldorf II vs SC St. Tönis?
The Footlab model makes Fortuna Düsseldorf II the favourite at 48%, against 22% for a draw and 30% for SC St. Tönis.
Where and when is Fortuna Düsseldorf II vs SC St. Tönis played?
Fortuna Düsseldorf II vs SC St. Tönis is played on October 23, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at Paul-Janes-Stadion, in the Oberliga - Niederrhein.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Fortuna Düsseldorf II and SC St. Tönis

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