Fortuna Düsseldorf II vs SC St. Tönis: prediction and stats
Oberliga - NiederrheinNiederrhein - 11Kick-off on October 23, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC)Paul-Janes-Stadion, Düsseldorf
The Footlab model makes Fortuna Düsseldorf II the favourite at 48%, against 22% for a draw and 30% for SC St. Tönis. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fortuna Düsseldorf II vs SC St. Tönis?
A very open match: only 41 Elo points separate Fortuna Düsseldorf II (1,873) and SC St. Tönis (1,833).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fortuna Düsseldorf II have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; SC St. Tönis have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Meerbusch(home) | 3-0 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Jul 31, 2026 | TSV Steinbach(home) | 2-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Homberg(away) | 3-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 15, 2026 | SC St. Tönis(away) | 4-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 16, 2026 | Bochum II(away) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - West |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Eintracht Frankfurt(home) | 0-11 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Solingen-Wald(home) | 3-2 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Jul 15, 2026 | Fortuna Düsseldorf II(home) | 1-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 8, 2026 | Fortuna Düsseldorf(home) | 0-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Hilden(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Fortuna Düsseldorf II win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 SC St. Tönis win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 15, 2026 | SC St. Tönis 1-4 Fortuna Düsseldorf II | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: SC St. Tönis vs Fortuna Düsseldorf II on Jul 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Fortuna Düsseldorf II score 1.8 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; SC St. Tönis score 1.9 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fortuna Düsseldorf II | 1.8 | 1.4 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| SC St. Tönis | 1.9 | 2.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fortuna Düsseldorf II sit 7th in Oberliga - Niederrhein (3 points from 1 matches) and SC St. Tönis sit 9th (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Fortuna Düsseldorf II | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | SC St. Tönis | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fortuna Düsseldorf II vs SC St. Tönis?
- The Footlab model makes Fortuna Düsseldorf II the favourite at 48%, against 22% for a draw and 30% for SC St. Tönis.
- Where and when is Fortuna Düsseldorf II vs SC St. Tönis played?
- Fortuna Düsseldorf II vs SC St. Tönis is played on October 23, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at Paul-Janes-Stadion, in the Oberliga - Niederrhein.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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